Trump 2025: Disaster for H1B Visa Holders, Their Spouse and Employer

When Donald Trump takes office on January 20, 2025, U.S. immigration policies will change and it will not be limited to the undocumented only, but also H-1B visa holders and their families.

From his previous administration, Trump’s policies will make it harder to get H1B or extend H1B, target H4 EAD, impose administrative burdens and make life of foreign workers in U.S. more complicated. During the first Trump administration, policies and regulations introduced significant changes to immigration reforms, including the H-1B visa program, which had major implications for employers and foreign workers.

These changes will impact hiring, compliance and foreign workers. Below are the changes and practical steps employees and employers can take to navigate this.

H1B Denial Trends

As Albert Einstein said:

“If you want to know the future, look at the past.”

The data tells us what to expect in the next Trump administration.

H1B denial data shows a stark contrast between Trump and Biden administration:

Trump Era (2017-2020)

  • Denials reached 24%.
  • Policies discouraged employers from sponsoring H-1B workers. The Trump administration’s efforts to reshape immigration policy, particularly through the Department of Homeland Security, significantly impacted the H-1B visa system.

Post-Trump Era (2021-2022)

  • Denials dropped to 2%-4% under Biden, due to relaxed policies.

Project 2025

A conservative policy guidebook, “Project 2025,” outlines H1B reforms for a second Trump term:

  • Wage-Based Allocations:
  • Replace the lottery system with merit-based system prioritizing higher wages and advanced skills.
  • Stricter Oversight:
  • Increase monitoring to ensure U.S. workers are not disadvantaged by foreign hires.
  • Shift to High-Skilled Labor:
  • Make the program elite, only bring in the “best and brightest.”

Actions

  • Increased Scrutiny:
  • Bring back policies that require more documentation, increase costs and processing time for employers.
  • Reduced Visa Approvals:
  • Limit the number of H1B visas issued each year by tightening the eligibility criteria.
  • High-Wage Jobs:
  • Block entry-level positions, disadvantage recent graduates and small businesses.

What are H1B and H4 Visas?

H1B Visa Overview

  • Purpose: Allows U.S. employers to hire foreign professionals in specialty occupations like technology, engineering, healthcare and education.
  • Dependents: Spouses and children of H1B holders enter U.S. on H4 visas.
  • Role in Economy:
  • H1B holders are key to innovation and business growth.
  • Many H1B workers are from India and China, countries with huge backlogs for employment based green cards.
  • Tech companies are still pushing for more H1B visas, citing talent shortages in areas like semiconductor production (backed by $280 billion CHIPS and Science Act).

H4 Visa Overview

  • Eligibility: Dependents (spouses and children) of H1B visa holders.Work Authorization: H4 spouses can work if:
  • H1B visa holder has an approved I-140 petition for permanent residency or
  • H1B status has been extended beyond 6 years due to green card backlogs.

WHAT IS H1B Visa: A Double Edged Sword?

H1B visa is a vital tool for U.S. companies to hire foreign talent in STEM, technology and healthcare. But it has also faced criticism for wage suppression and abuse.

1. H1B Benefits

Critical Workforce Support:

  • 60% of H1B visas are issued to companies in professional, scientific and technical fields.

Program allows companies to fill skill gaps in high demand industries like IT and engineering.

Boost for Small Businesses:

  • Research by Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond found that winning the H1B lottery increases a small business’s chance of survival over the next 5 years.

2. Criticisms and Controversies

Low Wage Categories

  • Companies are exploiting the program to hire foreign workers at lower wages, displacing U.S. workers.
  • Trump’s Truth Social’s H1B Petition in 2023 lists a $65,000 salary is an example of this.

Worker Displacement:

  • Program has faced scrutiny over high profile cases like Disney’s 2014 layoffs where U.S. workers were replaced by H1B contractors and forced to train their replacements.
  • Critics point to recent tech layoffs and growing number of domestic computer science graduates as reason to limit foreign hires.

Economic Impact of H1B Visa Program

Benefits

  • H1B workers contribute to economic growth through innovation, entrepreneurship and increased consumer spending.
  • Program has been linked to higher patent filings, research advancements and startup success.

Challenges

  • Dependence on the program has led to concerns about domestic workforce development.
  • Wage imbalances and perceived exploitation continues to be a criticism from labor advocates.

Trump Administration’s H1B Policy (2017-2020)

During his first term, Trump introduced policies that had a big impact on H1B program under the “Buy American, Hire American”executive order. This policy aimed to favor U.S. workers and increased restrictions on hiring foreign professionals. The changes to the deference policy also significantly impacted foreign national employees, causing confusion and challenges during the transition between administrations.

A Record of Disruption

Trump administration’s H1B policy was a departure from previous policies, favoring enforcement and control over efficiency. While it reduced fraud and backlog in some cases, it created huge problems for businesses that rely on global talent. The repeated H1B petition processing suspensions and new requirements showed the administration’s intent to limit immigration even for highly skilled workers that are critical to U.S. economy.

Actions:

Increased Scrutiny

  • Tighter application reviews.
  • USCIS to approve visas only for “most skilled” or “highest paid” workers.

Higher Wage Requirements:

  • Employers had to pay higher salaries to prove job complexity and specialization.

More Denials:

  • H1B denial rates went from 6% in FY 2015 to 24% in FY 2018.
  • Denial rates are back to historic lows under Biden but could go up again.

Site Visits:

  • Increased investigations to ensure compliance, more administrative burden on employers.

No Deference:

  • USCIS stopped extending prior H1B approvals, employers had to resubmit extensive documentation for renewals.

Periodic Suspension of Premium Processing.

Blocked Entry.

During COVID-19 pandemic, Trump used 212(f) authority to block entry of certain H1B and L1 visa holders. This blocked thousands of high skilled professionalsand their families from entering the U.S. and causing disruptions to businesses.

Trump’s H1B Hypocrisy: Business vs. Politics

Former President Donald Trump has been a vocal critic of H1B visa program, has called it unfair to American workers and promised to reform it. But records show that Trump affiliated businesses, including his social media platform Truth Social and his son-in-law Jared Kushner’s investment firm have used the very program he complained about. This raises questions about his political rhetoric vs business practices.

Truth Social’s H1B Use

In June 2022, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind Truth Social, filed an H1B application to hire a foreign worker. The application, later approved, was surprising given Trump’s history of opposition to the program.

Application Details

  • Position: Not disclosed, based in Atlanta.
  • Salary: $65,000 per year, the lowest wage level under H1B program.
  • Result:
  • Approved by U.S. Department of Labor.
  • TMTG later said they did not hire the worker and terminated the process in November 2022.

TMTG’s Statement

  • A company statement blamed “prior management”:
  • Quote: “The company has never hired — and has no plans to hire — an H1B visa program worker.”
  • But Devin Nunes, TMTG’s CEO and a Trump loyalist, was already the CEO when the application was filed.

H1B Use by Trump Related Entities

1. Trump’s Business

  • Before he was president, Trump’s businesses, including hotels, resorts and modeling agencies were frequent users of H1B program:
  • Hired foreign models and hospitality staff under the visa program.
  • Filed dozens of H1B petitions between 2009 and 2016.
  • H1B applications from Trump businesses stopped after 2017, during his presidency.

2. Jared Kushner’s Investment Firm

  • Kushner’s firm used H1B program. Unlike Truth Social’s $65,000 application, the firm offered $200,000 per year to hire a foreign associate, the highest wage level for the program.
  • The application was approved, in line with Trump’s promise of high wage, high skilled foreign workers.

Trump’s H1B Position

Trump has been a vocal critic of H1B program as bad for American workers. During a 2016 Republican primary debate, he called it “very bad” and “unfair” and said it allows companies to pay foreign workers less than American workers.

Quotes

2016 Debate:

  • Admitted his own businesses used the program but wanted to get rid of it.
  • Quote:

“I frankly use [H1B], and I shouldn’t be allowed to use it. We shouldn’t have it.”

Policy as President:

  • Issued the “Buy American and Hire American” Executive Order in 2017, to reform and prioritize high wage, high skilled foreign workers.
  • Said the program was used by tech companies to replace American workers with cheaper foreign labor.

H1B 2025: TRUMP II WILL FOLLOW UP ON TRUMP I

Despite Trump affiliates’ use of H1B program, a second Trump term will likely revisit the policies to restrict and re-shape the H1B program.

Here’s what was attempted and what will return:

1. Higher Wages

What Happened:

  • In October 2020, DOL issued a rule to increase wages for H1B, H1B1, E-3 and PERM workers.
  • Employers were caught off guard and it was implemented immediately, causing chaos.
  • Employers had to pay software developers $208,000 in smaller cities, pricing out many businesses from hiring H1B workers.
  • The rule was blocked in court but showed Trump’s intent to price foreign workers out of the market.

What to Expect:

  • A second Trump administration will likely bring similar wage increase measures
  • Wage-Based Distribution System
  • A system that favors higher paying jobs, top tier foreign professionals and minimizes perceived competition with American workers.
  • Modeled after Project 2025, a conservative policy proposal, this system would turn H1B into an “elite” program, focusing on high wage, high skilled workers.
  • Higher wage thresholds will make hiring foreign workers more expensive, especially for entry level positions.
  • A revived wage rule would make it impossible for companies to sponsor H1B workers. Many skilled professionals would lose their jobs and have to leave the US.
  • H1B visas would be awarded to highest paid applicants, not through a random lottery.

Who Benefits:

  • Large corporations with higher wages.

Who Suffers:

  • Startups and small businesses can’t compete with high wages.
  • Entry level professionals and recent graduates.

2. Definition of Specialty Occupation

The October 2020 rule tried to restrict eligibility by requiring a degree in a very specific field for a job to be considered a specialty occupation.

Additional documentation was required for third party placements and approvals for such cases were limited to one year. It is crucial to separate enforcement against illegal immigration from the processes of legal immigration, highlighting the importance of programs like the EB-5 visa as tools for economic growth.

What to Expect:

  • Tighter eligibility criteria for industries like IT and consulting that use third party placements.

3. Wage-Based H1B Cap Selection

What Happened:

  • Proposed regulation prioritized H1B lottery selection by wage level, higher paying roles first.
  • Entry level and newly graduated international students were hit the hardest.
  • The rule was blocked in court but it’s still a direction of policy.

What to Expect:

  • Wage-based prioritization will severely limit opportunities for early career professionals and entry level hires.

4. Deference Policy

What Happened:

  • In 2017, USCIS stopped giving deference to prior approvals during extensions and RFEs increased and denials skyrocketed.
  • It created uncertainty and disrupted business operations.
  • Reinstated under Biden administration, the deference policy is a memo not a regulation.

What to Expect:

  • A second Trump administration will likely rescind the policy and create more uncertainty.

5. Stricter Employer-Employee Relationship

What Happened:

  • The October 2020 rule required employers to show direct control over H1B workers, making it harder for placements at client sites.
  • The rule limited H1B visas for workers at client sites to one year (previously three years).

What to Expect:

  • A second Trump administration will likely bring back the previous restrictions on H1B workers at third party sites.
  • For employers, it will add administrative and legal burden, especially for IT and tech companies that use project based or contract labor. It will increase costs for frequent renewals and make it less viable for employers to place workers at client sites.
  • For employees, it will create uncertainty and instability for H1B visa holders at client sites, they will have to renew their status every year. It will reduce opportunities for workers in industries where short term project based assignments are common, like IT consulting.

H4 Work Authorization at Risk

Trump’s Previous Attempts

2025 Likely Changes

Repeal of H4 EAD Rule:

  • A second Trump administration will rescind the rule and many spouses will not be able to work.
  • Families will face financial stress and many professionals will re think staying in the U.S.

Processing Delays:

  • Administrative tactics like requiring new biometrics can extend H4 renewals to over a year without any policy change.

Who will be affected?

  • Professionals in Backlogged Green Card Categories:
  • Indian and Chinese nationals who wait decades for green cards.
  • High Skilled Spouses:
  • According to National Foundation for American Policy, 90% of H4 spouses have bachelor’s degree and 50% have graduate degree, they are valuable contributors to the US workforce.

H4 Spouse Administrative Burdens

Trump’s First Term: A Sample

  • Biometric Requirements:
  • USCIS introduced a rule requiring H4 spouses to submit fingerprints and other biometrics for EAD renewals and created delays.
  • Processing Delays:
  • Lawsuits showed that simple processes that took 12 minutes under normal circumstances were stretched to over a year.
  • Intentional Hurdles:
  • USCIS policies seemed designed to discourage H4 spouses from getting work authorization and many lost their jobs.

Legal Challenges and Reforms

  • Edakunni v. Mayorkas
  • In a lawsuit, over 40 companies including Amazon, Google and Apple supported bundling H4 EAD applications with H1B extensions to speed up processing.
  • The resulting settlement reversed some of these delays but a new administration can bring back similar hurdles.

Other Potential H1B Policies in Trump II

No one has a crystal ball to see the future but here are some potential changes to the H1B visa program in the next Trump administration:

Changes

More Requests for Evidence (RFEs) and Denials

  • Higher scrutiny will increase costs and delays especially for tech companies that rely heavily on H1B talent.

More Site Visits:

  • More investigations to ensure compliance will add to the administrative burden for employers.

Suspension of Premium Processing

As seen in 2017, 2018 and 2019, Trump can suspend premium processing for H1B visas and we will see longer wait times and hiring challenges.

Entry Blocked

A new Trump administration can expand these restrictions to block:

  1. New H1B workers from entering the U.S
  2. Families of H1B workers from joining them
  3. H1B workers from entering the U.S after traveling abroad

Buy American, Hire American (BAHA) Policies:

Visa approvals will be evaluated against U.S workers.

Longer Processing Times:

Operational changes within immigration agencies will lead to more procedures, longer processing times and higher denial rates. H, L and O visa petitions and others will see more scrutiny and RFEs.

More Biometric Requirements:

Dependents applying for visa extensions will face new requirements.

Reinstated Travel Bans and Extreme Vetting:

Some countries will see longer visa issuance times.

Extension Denials

  • Under Trump, H1B extension denial rates went from 3% to 12% and many workers had to go back to their home countries.

Mandatory interviews for employment based green cards.

Higher Costs for Employers.

Expect higher filing fees and compliance costs, more financial burden on small and mid-sized companies.

Stricter Cap Enforcement:

Trump administration can enforce stricter limits on the annual cap and reduce the number of visas approved.

International Students: Changing Landscape

International students will face more regulations, employment and mobility will be impacted.

Proposals

OPT restrictions:

  • 24 month STEM OPT extension may be eliminated.
  • Third party site work for OPT students may be prohibited.

“Unlawful Presence” policies tightened:

  • Falling out of status will have harsher consequences, complicating school transfers.

Green Card proposals for graduates:

  • Mentioned during the campaign, but will require legislative action, so uncertain.

Impact on International Students:

  • Students who transition to H1B within the U.S will avoid some restrictions but will face challenges if they go out and try to come back.

Worksite Enforcement: Back in Focus

Employers be prepared for more audits, raids and compliance checks.

Expected Actions

I-9 and E-Verify Audits:

FDNS Site Inspections:

  • Unannounced visits to employer and third-party sites will increase, targeting immigration fraud.

Wage and Hour Audits:

  • Departments overseeing H1B, H2A and H2B programs will enforce wage and work condition standards more aggressively.

DOJ Investigations:

Impact on Businesses and Workers

For Businesses

Startups and Small Firms will be at a Disadvantage:

Smaller companies which offer lower starting salaries will struggle to compete for foreign talent under a wage based allocation system.

Hiring/Planning Delays:

Longer adjudication times will force companies to look elsewhere, offshore or hire remote workers. Employers will face uncertainty in hiring timelines and will have to adjust their recruitment and workforce planning.

Higher Costs:

Higher wages, higher legal fees and compliance costs will go up, smaller employers will be discouraged to sponsor H1B visas.

Reduced Access to Talent:

Stricter eligibility rules will limit hiring flexibility. Risk of losing skilled workers to other countries with more welcoming immigration policies like Canada and Australia, especially in STEM and healthcare fields. Reduced ability to attract and retain global talent will hurt U.S. innovation and competitiveness in the global market.

Business Disruption:

Delays and more RFEs will disrupt operations.

Entry Level Talent Shortage:

Wage based prioritization will disadvantage recent graduates.

For Workers

Job Security at Risk:

  • Higher denial rates and administrative hurdles will make it harder for H1B workers to maintain status.

Limited Career Growth:

  • Wage based prioritization will favor senior professionals, sideline younger workers and new graduates.

More Denials

More documentation and stricter definitions will increase denial rates for H1B applicants.

Wage Inflation

  • Higher minimum salaries will make it less viable for many U.S. companies, especially small and mid-sized businesses to hire foreign born professionals.

Delayed Processing

  • More scrutiny will lead to longer wait times for approvals and disrupt project timelines and job opportunities.

Reduced Opportunities

  • Restricting OPT programs and international student pathways will discourage foreign born students to pursue education and employment in the U.S.

Family Disruption:

  • Making H1B process more unpredictable will stress H1B workers and their families. Revoking H4 EADs will put financial strain on dual income families and add more stress to H1B workers. Psychological and financial stress due to prolonged uncertainty.

Impact on U.S. Economy

The new administration will argue that restrictive H1B measures are needed to protect American jobs, but critics warn of the long term consequences:

  • Talent Shortage: Technology and healthcare industries will struggle to find skilled workers.
  • Global Competitiveness: Restrictive immigration policies will deter top global talent, benefitting countries like Canada and UK.
  • Economic Contributions: International students and workers contribute billions to U.S. economy through tuition, taxes and innovation.

What Can Employees Do to Mitigate H1B restrictions?

Do Now:

  • File for extensions, green cards or H4 EAD as soon as possible to avoid restrictions.

Stay Updated:

  • Follow immigration policy changes and consult with attorneys.

Explore Options:

  • Consider switching to O-1 or explore permanent residency options (like EB-5 investment green card which allows for concurrent I-485 filing as soon as possible). During Trump’s first term, stricter H1B policies led some foreign workers to explore the EB-5 program.

4. Legal Expertise:

Work with attorneys to navigate these changes.

What can Employers do to mitigate H1B restrictions?

Here are some tips for employers to attract and retain foreign born talent and prepare for aggressive DHS enforcement:

  • File Now: File applications, extensions and green card petitions well in advance of deadlines to avoid delays. Fast track eligible H1B petitions before new rules take effect.
  • Review Job Descriptions: Make sure they meet stricter definitions.
  • Compensation: Get ready for higher wage requirements.
  • Explore Options: Look into other visa options for employees who no longer qualify under new H1B rules. O-1, L-1 or green cards.
  • Document the job is specialized: Employers may need to provide more evidence of the role’s requirements. Enhance Documentation: Make sure all filings are detailed and error free and robust.
  • Plan for OPT restrictions: Identify ways to transition OPT employees to long term visa options.
  • Internal Audit: Review I-9 and E-Verify records for compliance. Make sure job descriptions and compensation packages match new requirements. Prepare documentation to prove specialty occupation.
  • Vendor Compliance: Ensure electronic I-9 systems meet DHS standards.
  • Train Staff: Educate HR and IT on compliance.
  • Document Everything: Keep files ready for audit for visa sponsored employees.
  • Budget: Plan for increased costs for filing fees, wage mandates and legal compliance.
  • Contingency Planning: Consider offshoring or hiring remote workers to mitigate talent shortage risk. Identify roles that can be filled by domestic talent or through alternative recruitment strategies.
  • Support affected employees: Provide resources and legal assistance to H1B workers and their families.
  • Advocate: Join industry groups pushing for balanced and fair immigration policies.
  • Stay Updated: Follow policies to minimize disruption to foreign born employees. Follow policy changes closely, especially from the current administration. Anticipate and plan for changes and adjust hiring accordingly.
  • Legal Expertise: Work with attorneys to navigate these changes. Consult with immigration attorneys to stay updated on policy changes. Conduct training for HR teams on compliance and best practices.

Who is Stephen Miller, the H1B Architect?

Stephen Miller, one of Donald Trump’s most loyal advisors, has been reappointed as Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy after Trump’s 2024 re-election. Known for his anti-immigration stance, Miller’s influence on US immigration policies will be bad news for Indian tech professionals and other foreign workers in the US. Here’s a deep dive into Miller’s policies, his impact on H1B visa program and what’s to come.

Who is Stephen Miller?

Bio:

  • Born August 23, 1985 in Santa Monica, California. Raised in a conservative Jewish family.
  • Education at Duke University solidified his reputation as a conservative voice, he was an active debater and writer for campus publications.

Political Career:

  • Early roles included press secretary for Reps Michele Bachmann and John Shadegg.
  • He rose to fame in 2016 as a senior policy advisor for Trump’s presidential campaign and later as a senior advisor and speechwriter during Trump’s first term.

Notable work:

  • Architect of key immigration policies including travel ban on Muslim-majority countries and family separation policy.
  • After administration he founded America First Legal, a group advocating for conservative legal principles.

Miller back at the White House

  • In his new role he will oversee policy with a big focus on immigration and national security.
  • Along with Tom Homan, Trump’s pick for “Border Czar”, Miller will implement tough immigration policies including H1B visa and deportation policies.

Miller on H1B Visas

Stephen Miller has been critical of H1B visa program, saying it displaces American workers and suppresses wages. His influence has led to several H1B targeted policies:

1. Stricter Eligibility Criteria

  • Narrowing Specialty Occupations:
  • During Trump’s first term, policies changed the definition of “specialty occupations” making it harder for professionals to get H1B visas.
  • Jobs requiring general degrees like computer programming faced more scrutiny.
  • Increased Denials:
  • Denial rates for H1B visas went up under Miller’s influence creating chaos for employers and employees.

2. Higher Wages

  • Cruz-Sessions Bill Influence:
  • Miller supported policies requiring H1B workers to meet a high wage threshold, like $110,000 a year, making many professionals unaffordable for the US labor market.
  • This would disproportionately impact entry level and mid level roles which are often filled by Indian professionals.

3. Restrictions on OPT and International Students

  • Targeting OPT Programs:
  • Miller backed policies to restrict Optional Practical Training (OPT), which allows international students to work in the US after graduation.
  • Proposals included requiring students to leave the US for 10 years before reapplying for work visas.

Stephen Miller: Personal Life and Controversies

Family:

  • Married to Katie Waldman, former press secretary to Vice President Mike Pence, with three kids.

Controversies:

  • Miller has been under public fire, including leaked emails in 2019 showing him promoting white nationalist content.
  • Despite all this he is still a big name in conservative circles.

How does H1B Program Work?

The H1B visa program has been a part of US immigration policy for decades, allowing employers to hire foreign professionals with specialized skills in fields like science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM). Despite its importance in filling workforce gaps and driving economic growth, the program faces challenges of limited supply, administrative burden and changing policies. Here’s a detailed explanation of the program, its process and its impact on US economy.

What is H1B Visa?

H1B is a nonimmigrant visa that allows US employers to hire foreign professionals for specialty occupations.

Key Facts

Eligibility:

  • Jobs must be specialty occupations, typically requiring at least a bachelor’s degree or equivalent experience.
  • Industries include information technology, engineering, mathematics, healthcare and academia.

Duration:

  • Initial visa validity: 3 years.
  • Extensions: Can be extended up to 6 years, and additional years for green card applicants facing backlogs.
  • Dependents: H1B visa holders’ spouses and children can enter the US on H4 visas, and some spouses can get employment authorization (H4 EAD).

H1B Petition Process

Step 1: Labor Condition Application (LCA)

Before filing H1B petition, employers must file an LCA with the Department of Labor (DOL) and make the following attestations:

  • The hiring will not displace US workers.
  • The employer is offering the prevailing wage or higher for the area and position.
  • Existing employees are notified of the intent to hire an H1B worker.

Step 2: USCIS Registration and Petition

  1. Electronic Registration:
  • Introduced in 2020 to simplify the process and reduce paperwork.
  • Employers register foreign nationals for H1B lottery before filing a full petition.
  • Registration fee will increase to $215 per entry in FY 2026.
  1. Lottery:
  • If registrations exceed the cap, a random lottery will determine who can move forward.
  • Cap Breakdown:
  • 65,000 general visas.
  • 20,000 advanced degree visas for US graduates (master’s or higher).
  1. Filing the Petition:
  • Employers with selected registrations submit detailed petitions, including proof of the job’s specialty and foreign national’s qualifications.

Recent Changes to the Registration System

Beneficiary-Centric Approach (Introduced in FY 2025)

  • Replaces the old employer-centric system.
  • Prevents abuse by not allowing duplicate registrations for the same individual.
  • Impact:
  • Reduced attempts to game the system.
  • Fairer distribution of visas across unique beneficiaries.

Challenges and Statistics

High Demand vs. Low Supply

  • The cap is always oversubscribed, demand far exceeds supply.
  • FY 2025:
  • 470,342 registrations, down from 758,994 in FY 2024 (beneficiary-centric system impact).
  • Only 114,017 were selected in the lottery.

Denial Rates Over Time

  • Under Trump:
  • New H1B petition denial rates were 24% in FY 2018, 14% in FY 2017 and 6% in FY 2015.
  • Post-Trump:
  • Denial rates dropped to 2% in FY 2022, the lowest ever, due to policy changes and legal settlements.

COVID-19 Impact

  • H1B admissions were 601,594 in FY 2019, 148,603 in FY 2021 (pandemic travel restrictions).
  • By FY 2023, admissions were 755,020 (travel restrictions eased).

H1B Economic Contributions

Filling Labor Gaps

  • Skill shortages: H1B workers fill the talent gap in STEM fields.
  • Unemployment Trends:
  • Occupations with high H1B hiring (IT and engineering) have low unemployment rates even during recessions.

Boosting US Innovation

  • H1B professionals contribute to technological advancements:
  • More patent filings and research.
  • More venture capital funding for startups with H1B workers.
  • Growth, IPOs and acquisitions.

Economic Growth

Wages:

  • 2021 H1B median wage: $108,000.
  • US national median wage: $45,760.

Regional Impact:

  • Major cities like New York City and Silicon Valley benefit the most from H1B talent.

Consumer Spending:

  • H1B workers drive demand for housing, goods and services and boost local economies.

H1B Myths Debunked

Myth 1: H1B workers take jobs from US citizens

  • Fact: H1B workers fill jobs that would otherwise be unfilled by US workers.
  • Study: H1B hiring correlates with lower unemployment in the industry.

Myth 2: H1B workers are underpaid

  • Fact: Employers must pay the prevailing wage or higher.
  • 78% of H1B workers earned above the DOL prevailing wage for their job in 2019.

Myth 3: H1B workers hurt the economy

  • Fact: Immigrant workers drive growth through spending, innovation and job creation.

Long term challenges for the program

Green Card Backlogs

  • Impact:
  • Indians and Chinese face multi-decade waits for employment based green cards.
  • Many H1B workers have to extend their visas multiple times creating uncertainty for themselves and their employers.

Policy Changes

  • Wage mandates or stricter selection criteria may deter employers from participating in the program.
  • Higher costs and administrative burden may force companies to move jobs offshore.

FAQs: H1B Policy Changes in 2025

General

1. What is the purpose of H1B visa program and why is it controversial?
The H1B visa program allows U.S. employers to hire foreign workers with specialized skills for specialty occupations where U.S. workers are not available. Controversy arises from the perception that the program is used to hire foreign workers at a lower cost than U.S. workers or outsource jobs. Critics say some employers abuse the system while proponents argue it drives innovation and fills skills gaps.

2. Why are Trump’s H1B policies a concern?
During Trump’s previous presidency, immigration policy reforms focused on American workers. For H1B visas, this meant:

  • Tighter eligibility requirements.
  • More compliance checks and audits.
  • Higher paid and advanced degree applicants.
  • Limiting perceived abuse by outsourcing firms. Given these precedents, there is a lot of fear that similar or more stringent measures will come back.

3. Will the current H1B program change drastically?
Uncertain but possible. Any major change will require new legislation or executive orders. Executive actions can change administrative rules or enforcement priorities while legislative changes can overhaul the program (e.g. wage levels, eligibility criteria or annual caps).

H1B Visa Holders and Applicants

4. Will current H1B holders lose their visa status if policies change?
No, policy changes do not retroactively revoke existing visas. However, H1B holders may face challenges with renewals, transfers or green card sponsorships if the process becomes more stringent or costly.

5. What if my H1B renewal is denied?
If denied, you will need to leave the U.S. immediately unless you:

  • File a motion to reopen or appeal the decision.
  • Switch to another visa type (e.g. F1 for studies or O1 for individuals with extraordinary abilities).
  • Re-employ with a new sponsor, subject to approval.

6. Will the H1B cap be reduced?
While the annual cap for h 1b visas (currently 85,000 visas, 20,000 for advanced degree holders) is determined by legislation, the administration can influence the program by:

  • Tweaking the lottery process to favor specific criteria (e.g. higher wages or U.S. degrees).
  • Delaying visa issuance to reduce overall numbers.

7. Will H4 EAD be eliminated?
The Trump administration previously tried to rescind H4 EAD which allows certain H1B spouses to work. While the attempt was stalled, this issue can come back. Without H4 EAD, H4 visa holders will not be able to work legally in the U.S. and will face financial and emotional challenges.

8. Will the “dual intent” feature of H1B visa be changed?
The H1B visa’s dual intent allows holders to apply for green card without jeopardizing their non-immigrant status. Stricter policies can increase scrutiny of green card applications or PERM labor certification process making it harder for H1B holders to transition to permanent residency.


Employer Specific

9. How will stricter H1B policies affect my ability to hire talent?
If policies favor higher wages or advanced degrees, it will:

  • Limit entry-level talent, especially in STEM fields.
  • Increase competition for higher tier talent.
  • Add administrative costs due to more documentation requirements.

10. What can employers do to prepare?
Employers should:

  • Audit current H1B filings to ensure compliance.
  • Develop contingency plans for key foreign employees (e.g. explore other visa types like L1 or O1).
  • Stay updated on policy developments and engage immigration counsel for planning.

11. Will outsourcing companies be targeted?
Yes, outsourcing companies have been a target for stricter H1B policies due to abuse allegations. More site visits, audits and documentation requirements will affect these companies disproportionately.


Overall Impact on the Workforce

12. How will U.S. workers benefit from stricter H1B policies?
Proponents say that stricter policies will:

  • Reduce foreign competition in certain industries.
  • Encourage employers to invest in domestic workers.
  • Increase U.S. wages in specialized fields.

13. Will stricter policies harm the U.S. economy?
Many think that limiting H1B program will:

  • Slow down innovation in tech and healthcare sectors.
  • Make U.S. less competitive by driving talent to other countries.
  • Create labor shortages in areas like STEM fields.

14. How about universities and students?
Foreign students, especially in STEM fields, use H1B visas to stay in the U.S. after graduation. Stricter policies will deter international students from enrolling in U.S. institutions, impacting revenue and global competitiveness.


Unusual Questions and Situations

15. Will premium processing for H1B applications be eliminated?
Premium processing which allows for expedited review for an additional fee can be suspended or limited like it has been during peak periods. This will delay processing times and create uncertainty for employers and applicants.

16. Will the administration add more fees to H1B applications?
Yes, higher fees for employers sponsoring H1B workers are possible. This will impact small businesses or startups that rely on foreign talent but have tighter budgets.

17. Will changes target specific industries?
Policies can include industry specific restrictions or priorities, favoring one industry over the other (e.g. healthcare over tech or vice versa).

18. How likely are increased visa denials or RFEs?
During Trump’s previous administration, RFEs and denial rates for H1B visas went up significantly. This trend can continue, employers and applicants will need to submit more documentation.


How to Minimize Risks

19. How can I make my H1B application or renewal stronger?

  • Document job duties, required skills and the need for the role thoroughly.
  • Ensure wage levels meet or exceed Department of Labor standards.
  • Work with an immigration attorney to avoid RFEs.

20. Should I look into other visa options?
Depending on your qualifications you can:

  • O1 visa: For individuals with extraordinary ability.
  • L1 visa: For intra-company transferees.
  • F1 visa: For continued studies or OPT.

21. Can advocacy groups impact policy?
Yes, organizations representing immigrants and employers can lobby Congress, file lawsuits and build public awareness. Joining such groups or supporting their initiatives will amplify the voice of stakeholders.

22. How can employers and employees work together to address the uncertainty?

  • Employers should communicate with affected employees, provide legal assistance and explore alternative pathways for work authorization.
  • Employees should gather documentation and consult with legal counsel to assess options.

Conclusion: Get Ready for a Tougher Landscape

Trump back in the White House means big trouble for H-1B workers and their families – H-4 work authorization could be gone, visa requirements could get stricter and processing times could get longer. Employers and workers need to act now by staying informed, filing early and seeking legal advice.

By preparing now you can minimize the disruption and continue to succeed in the changing legal immigration landscape.

Helpful Resources

Stay informed, stay tuned and prepared to mitigate any disruptions to your immigration journey.

 

Can Trump Take Away My Citizenship?

Trump’s Immigration Crackdown: Denaturalization is Back

President-elect Donald Trump has doubled down on one of his most outrageous campaign promises: deporting 15 million people, including some who are already naturalized U.S. citizens. While it may be virtually impossible to implement Trump’s grandiose ambitions due to the logistical and financial challenges of deporting millions, his administration will still devastate countless lives, including those who thought their citizenship was forever.

Among the tools at their disposal is the obscure judicial process of denaturalization—revoking citizenship granted to immigrants—making naturalized Americans deportable.

Going Beyond Terrorism and War Crimes

Becoming a naturalized U.S. citizen is supposed to mean you get all the rights and protections of citizenship. But the Department of Justice (DOJ) can take that away if they can prove fraud or misrepresentation during the naturalization process. Historically, it was used sparingly and only in extreme cases, like targeting people with ties to terrorism, war crimes, or human rights violators who may have concealed such backgrounds.

Under the first Trump administration, this rarely used power is getting new attention, and what does it mean to be “truly American” and naturalized citizens are getting nervous.

This is a big expansion of immigration enforcement and has huge implications for immigrant communities and the entire legal system.

Most naturalized citizens will not be affected by Trump’s renewed efforts to denaturalize.

Who’s at Risk?

But those who naturalized by providing false material information (like not disclosing criminal history or obtaining citizenship under false identity) will be at greater risk.

Likely Targets

  • Those who didn’t disclose past deportation orders or criminal convictions.
  • Those who naturalized under false identities.
  • Naturalized citizens who committed crimes before they were citizens (and didn’t disclose).

What is Denaturalization?

Denaturalization is the legal process of taking away an individual’s U.S. citizenship. Established in 1906, this process allows the government to revoke citizenship if it was obtained by fraud, misrepresentation, or material omission that would have precluded naturalization.

This process allows authorities to strip citizenship from individuals who:

  1. Illegally Obtained Citizenship: Failing to meet the requirements.
  2. Committed Fraud or Misrepresentation: Hiding or lying about material facts in the naturalization process.

Denaturalization requires the government to prove an individual obtained citizenship by fraud or misrepresentation. Specifically:

  1. Willful Concealment: The applicant intentionally misrepresented or withheld information.
  2. Material Fact: The concealed fact would have made them ineligible for naturalization.

Until the first Trump administration, naturalization was rare and historically targeted serious offenders like war crimes or terrorism.

But someone like Elon Musk, whom many have speculated about his immigration journey, including allegations of working illegally on a student visa, could theoretically be at risk of denaturalization if he illegally worked in the U.S. while on an F-1 student visa, if he intentionally lied about that work, and if that unlawful employment would have made him ineligible for his green card and therefore citizenship.

Fear is part of the strategy

While denaturalization cases are few, the denaturalization efforts may be part of a broader strategy to scare immigrant communities and deter naturalization.

What’s next for immigration under Trump?

Experts say a second Trump administration will double down on policies to reduce both legal and illegal immigration.

Expected tactics

  1. Supercharged Denaturalization: Will expand despite the small number of cases compared to overall immigrant population.
  2. Legislative Changes: Will try to limit family-based immigration and visa programs.
  3. More Enforcement: More focus on investigating old applications for fraud.

How Denaturalization Works

Investigation:

Federal authorities review visa and citizenship applications for inconsistencies, inaccuracies, or omissions.

“Material” misstatements—those that if known would have prevented the applicant from becoming a citizen—are grounds for denaturalization.

Filing a Case:

  • Denaturalization cases are filed in federal court where the government must prove its claims. Unlike criminal cases, defendants do not have the right to appointed counsel.

Outcome:

  • If successful, citizenship is revoked and the individual reverts to their prior immigration status. In most cases, this makes them deportable.

Denaturalization Facts

  • Denaturalization does not result in deportation. Instead the individual reverts to their prior immigration status, such as a green card holder. But green card holders can be deported for certain crimes.
  • The DOJ must prove its case in federal court as denaturalization requires judicial approval.
  • As mentioned above, this process has historically been reserved for the most serious cases, such as terrorism, war crimes or significant fraud.

Why Naturalized Citizens?

Under Trump’s plan, naturalized citizens are not exempt from the administration’s broader deportation plans. Trump administration officials, particularly Stephen Miller, have been saying they will use denaturalization to expand enforcement beyond undocumented immigrants, idealizing past immigration policies from the 1920s to emphasize a cultural element in defining true membership in America.

The Strategy

  • Expand Enforcement: Trump’s team will investigate tens of thousands of naturalized citizens for revocation.
  • Broaden Criteria: No more limitations on cases. Even small mistakes on applications will be grounds for denaturalization.
  • Revive “Operation Second Look”: This from Trump’s first term will supercharge denaturalization by reviewing old cases for any discrepancies, regardless of intent or harm.

The Philosophy

Stephen Miller, the architect of Trump’s immigration policies, has called for a “supercharged” denaturalization process. He says every inconsistency, no matter how small or unintentional, should be scrutinized to see if citizenship was granted improperly. His phrase “America is for Americans only” is a deeply exclusionary approach to immigration.

Denaturalization Consequences

The effects of denaturalization go far beyond the individual who loses citizenship. The ripples impact families, communities and the very fabric of U.S. immigration policy.

1. Individual Consequences

  • Loss of Citizenship: Revocation makes individuals deportable and strips them of their rights and privileges as U.S. citizens.
  • Legal Vulnerability: Without citizenship individuals can’t vote, hold certain jobs or sponsor family members for immigration.
  • Financial Burden: Defending against denaturalization requires expensive legal representation which many can’t afford. Without guaranteed counsel defendants are at a huge disadvantage.

2. Family Consequences

  • Naturalized Children: Minors who became citizens through their parents’ applications will lose their status if their parents are denaturalized.
  • American Born Children: Trump has promised to end birthright citizenship so children born to immigrant parents will be stateless if their parents are denaturalized.

3. Psychological Harm

Even if you successfully defend your citizenship the process causes lasting harm:

  • Stress and Fear: The possibility of losing your citizenship erodes your sense of belonging and security.
  • Second Class Citizenship: Millions of naturalized Americans will start to feel like second class citizens, unsure of their status. The fear of denaturalization will erode their sense of permanence and equality.

4. Wider Social Consequences

As journalist Masha Gessen has written, a mass denaturalization campaign will create a system where immigrants live under constant suspicion, undermining trust in the U.S. immigration process and the American dream.

Why Should All Americans Care?

Denaturalization raises the question: what does it mean to be American and is citizenship really permanent?

1. Citizenship as a Firewall

Citizenship has always been seen as a barrier to deportation and a sign of full membership in American society. This effort blows that firewall apart.

2. Immigration Policy

The Trump administration’s rhetoric ties Americanness to culture or race, just like the restrictive immigration policies of the early 20th century. Critics say this undermines the idea of America as a nation of immigrants.

3. Second Class Citizens

Masha Gessen, a journalist and critic, says the denaturalization task force is telling naturalized citizens they are “second class citizens” living under a cloud of conditional acceptance.

History

Denaturalization has a long and uneven history in the United States. Understanding its past helps us understand the current threat to naturalized citizens.

1906 to Mid 20th Century: Setting the Precedent

  • It was first codified in 1906 to revoke citizenship obtained by fraud.
  • Denaturalization peaked during the World Wars and early Cold War.
  • It was often used for political reasons, targeting individuals accused of disloyalty or radical political activity. For example:
  • Emma Goldman, an anarchist and pacifist, was denaturalized during World War I for opposing the war.
  • Naturalized citizens who joined Communist or Nazi organizations were denaturalized in the 1930s and 1940s.

Late 20th Century: Targeted Use

  • Denaturalization was rare and focused on:
  • War criminals
  • Terrorists
  • Human rights abusers
  • Cases required evidence of deliberate fraud that would have prevented naturalization.

Post 1967 Restrictions

  • The Supreme Court’s decision in Afroyim v. Rusk (1967) held that citizenship is a right, not a privilege and can’t be revoked for post naturalization behavior. Denaturalization could only be pursued if citizenship was fraudulently obtained in the first place.

21st Century: New Focus

  • Under the Obama administration denaturalization was rare but used for severe cases, such as individuals concealing violent criminal histories.
  • Example: Rasmea Odeh who failed to disclose a bombing conviction in Israel lost her citizenship.

Trump’s First Term: Operation Second Look

  • Trump’s Department of Justice expanded denaturalization efforts big time.
  • Key Moves:
  • Hired dozens of new agents to review naturalization applications.
  • Increased cases from a few dozen a year to thousands.
  • Targeted individuals whose infractions caused little or no harm.

Biden Administration’s Response

On February 2, 2021 President Joe Biden signed an executive order to review and potentially reverse denaturalization. The order directed the attorney general and secretaries of state and homeland security to:

  • Review Policies and Practices: Not use denaturalization and passport revocation excessively or unfairly.
  • Promote Fairness: Re-examine denaturalization cases from the Trump era to see if they met the principles of justice and due process.

Advocacy and Reform

  • Immigrant rights orgs called it a “good first step” but said more is needed to restore trust in the system.
  • Advocates are calling for:
  • Full reversal of denaturalization policies from the Trump administration.
  • More transparency and oversight to prevent denaturalization abuse in the future.

Trump’s Denaturalization Task Force

During Trump’s first term denaturalization efforts expanded big time with resources shifted to review old naturalization cases for fraud. This included high profile initiatives like Operation Janus and Operation Second Look to find cases where individuals may have hidden information during the naturalization process.

In June 2018 USCIS Director L. Francis Cissna announced the creation of a denaturalization task force to investigate naturalized citizens. This was an expansion of Operation Janus, a long running program to target individuals who obtained citizenship fraudulently.

What is Operation Janus?

  • Began in the 2000s Operation Janus reviewed hundreds of thousands of naturalization files to find individuals with past deportation orders or criminal records under other names.
  • In 2017 the DOJ filed its first lawsuits under this program against individuals who used fake identities to get citizenship.
  • The denaturalization task force is an expansion of these efforts, targeting thousands of cases found by Operation Janus.

Trump’s first administration diverted resources from new immigration applications to old cases:

Trump Era

  • 2018: Then-USCIS Director Francis Cissna said they would refer 1,600 naturalization fraud cases to the DOJ.
  • 2019: ICE shifted over $200 million to denaturalization efforts.
  • Operation Janus uncovered old fingerprint files and found 858 cases of individuals who got citizenship despite having prior deportation orders or criminal records.
  • 2020: The DOJ launched a denaturalization initiative and filed cases in federal court.
  • Statistical Context:
  • Between 2008 and 2020 the DOJ filed 228 denaturalization cases, 94 of them during the first three years of Trump’s presidency.
  • Denaturalization became harder to prove after the Supreme Court’s 2017 decision in Maslenjak v. United States which raised the standard of proof for fraud in naturalization applications.

Case Study: Norma Borgono

One example of denaturalization under the Trump administration is Norma Borgono, a 63 year old Peruvian grandmother living in Miami. She became a U.S. citizen in 2007 but was later implicated in a mail fraud scheme through her work. Although she cooperated with authorities and did house arrest, the DOJ said she failed to disclose the criminal activity during the naturalization process. That omission, according to the government, was fraud and made her citizenship invalid.

This case shows how far the administration is willing to go, focusing on past crimes or omissions even if they weren’t intentional or material to the naturalization process.

Trump’s Expanded Approach

Previous administrations focused on national security and human rights cases. Trump’s administration expanded denaturalization to include crimes that occurred before naturalization but weren’t disclosed during the application process. This has a chilling effect on naturalized citizens.

Trump

  • Broader Targets: Cases include individuals with lesser offenses such as omissions of minor past crimes or activities unrelated to their citizenship eligibility.
  • More Resources: The task force hired more attorneys to review naturalization files, to prosecute thousands of cases.
  • Expanded Definition of Fraud: Unintentional errors or omissions are being looked at for materiality.

Chilling Effect on Naturalization

Immigrant advocacy groups, including the ACLU, said the increased scrutiny would deter eligible green card holders from applying for citizenship, fearing retroactive investigations.

The Human Cost of Denaturalization and Immigration Policies

While the number of denaturalization cases is small, the human impact is big:

  • Fear Among Immigrants: Increased investigations are causing anxiety among naturalized citizens, even those with minor errors in their applications.
  • Family Separation: Restrictive policies are hitting immigrant families hard, delaying reunification and causing emotional trauma.

Long Term

  • Over time these policies could reduce immigration by tens of millions, changing the demographic and economic fabric of the U.S.

Trump Immigration Policies and Their Legacy

The Denaturalization Section was one of several controversial initiatives under the Trump administration’s broader anti-immigration agenda which included:

  • Travel Bans: Restricting entry from predominantly Muslim countries.
  • Family Separation: Enforcing policies that separated children from their parents at the border.
  • Asylum Restrictions: Implementing policies that severely limited the ability to claim asylum in the U.S.

Denaturalization fit into this pattern by targeting naturalized citizens, a group previously considered secure in their immigration status.

Threat to Birthright Citizenship

In addition to denaturalization, Trump has promised to end birthright citizenship, a constitutional right under the 14th Amendment. This would undermine the legal foundation of citizenship for children born in the U.S., further destabilizing immigrant families.

Consequences

  • Millions of U.S. born children could have their citizenship challenged if Trump’s policies succeed.
  • This would create stateless individuals, contrary to international law and human rights.

Immigration Policies in a Second Trump Term

Denaturalization is just one piece of the Trump administration’s overall plan to reduce immigration. Other likely actions:

  • Blocking Green Card Categories: Eliminating visa programs like the diversity lottery which brings in 50,000 immigrants a year.
  • Slowing Application Approvals: Increased scrutiny and bureaucratic hurdles for legal immigration applications.
  • Family-Based Immigration: Measures that could leave many Americans unable to sponsor family members for green cards.

Social and Political Consequences

  1. Disappointed Sponsors: Many Americans trying to sponsor family members will be delayed or denied.

Labor Market

A smaller labor force could worsen existing shortages in healthcare, agriculture and construction

Economic and Demographic Impact

Denaturalization itself will not have a big demographic impact, but broader legal immigration restrictions will harm the economy by reducing labor force growth and slowing GDP.

Economic Impact

  1. Labor Force Growth:
  • Immigration has driven U.S. labor force growth, a major driver of economic growth.
  • The combination of Trump’s policies and the pandemic between 2016 and 2022 already reduced GDP growth by 1.3 percentage points, according to a study by the National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP).
  1. Employers and Consumers
  • Employers will have trouble filling key positions due to labor shortages.
  • Consumers will have reduced access to services provided by immigrant workers.

Quotes

  • “Limiting both legal and undocumented immigration will slow overall economic growth and disrupt sectors that rely on immigrant labor.” – Robert Lynch, economics professor at Washington College

Tools to Stop Denaturalization

Defending Citizenship

Fighting denaturalization is hard. The system is stacked against you. The government has the upper hand.

No Right to Counsel

Unlike criminal cases, denaturalization cases do not provide legal representation. Many defendants, unaware of the legal process, can’t mount a proper defense and will lose their citizenship.

Burden of Proof

While the government must prove fraud, the complexity of immigration law leaves individuals vulnerable to accusations based on minor errors or omissions.

Costs

Legal fees to defend against denaturalization can be tens of thousands of dollars, out of reach for many.

Legal and Practical Implications

1. What is “Material Fraud”?

The Supreme Court in 2017 in Maslenjak v. United States ruled that only lies or omissions that would have prevented naturalization at the time can justify denaturalization. This limits the government’s ability to strip immigrants of citizenship for minor mistakes. The Supreme Court limited the government’s ability to revoke citizenship by requiring proof of material fraud for denaturalization. Courts can be a check on overreach if they follow this standard.

2. Advocacy

  • Organizations must educate the public about denaturalization and provide resources to those affected.
  • More free or low-cost legal services is key to a fair trial.

3. Community Support

4. Legislation

  • Congress can pass laws to limit denaturalization and protect naturalized citizens from overreach.

Denaturalization Deep Dive

Denaturalization, the process of revoking U.S. citizenship from naturalized citizens, has been rare. Between 1990 and 2017 an average of 11 cases were pursued annually. But under Trump, that number has skyrocketed with a big increase in government resources and the creation of new offices and initiatives. This guide explains the denaturalization process, the legal basis, recent developments and the implications for immigrants and the immigration system.


What is Denaturalization?

Denaturalization is the legal process of revoking a naturalized U.S. citizen’s citizenship. This can happen if the government proves the individual was not eligible for naturalization at the time it was granted or obtained citizenship through fraud or misrepresentation.

Legal Standards

  • Government must meet high burden of proof:
  • Civil cases: Clear, convincing and unequivocal evidence.
  • Criminal cases: Beyond a reasonable doubt.
  • Denaturalization cases must go through federal court so there is judicial oversight.

Grounds for Denaturalization

Denaturalization is governed by specific sections of U.S. law that outline when citizenship can be revoked:

1. Illegal Procurement or Fraudulent Misrepresentation

  • Statute: Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) § 340(a).
  • Criteria:
  • Citizenship was procured illegally or through concealment of a material fact, leading to the potential for citizenship annulled.
  • Willful misrepresentation that affected the naturalization decision.
  • Examples: Falsifying personal information, omitting past crimes or using false identities.

2. Naturalization Fraud Convictions

  • Statute: 18 U.S.C. § 1425.
  • Criteria:
  • Convicted of procuring or attempting to procure naturalization contrary to the law.
  • Examples: Submitting fake documents or bribing officials during the application process.

3. Wartime Military Service

  • Statute: INA § 329(c).
  • Criteria:
  • Naturalization through wartime military service can be revoked if the individual is discharged under “other than honorable conditions” within five years.
  • Example: Falsifying enlistment qualifications to get expedited citizenship.

4. Refusing to Testify Before Congress

  • Statute: Proviso to INA § 340(a).
  • Criteria:
  • A Cold War-era provision allowing denaturalization for refusing to testify about alleged subversive activities before Congress.
  • Example: Used historically against suspected communists.

Initiatives and Developments

1. Operation Janus

  • Launched: 2010.
  • Goal: Identify individuals who obtained citizenship or legal permanent residence under false identities or with prior deportation orders.
  • Findings:
  • A 2016 DHS OIG report found:
  • 1,029 naturalized citizens with deportation orders under different identities.
  • 315,000 missing fingerprint records for non-citizens with criminal convictions or final deportation orders.
  • 148,000 old fingerprint cards not digitized or reviewed by ICE.

2. Operation Second Look

  • Launched: 2016.
  • Goal: Expanded naturalization case audits to find discrepancies or fraud.
  • Results:
  • Denaturalization referrals increased 600% between 2017 and 2020.

3. Denaturalization Section

  • Created: February 2020.
  • Location: Within the DOJ’s Office of Immigration Litigation.
  • Mission:
  • Prioritize and handle denaturalization cases.
  • Investigate and litigate citizenship revocation.
  • This is a big increase in denaturalization capacity.

Denaturalization Results

1. Current Numbers

  • Despite all the focus and resources, the number of individuals denaturalized is still very small:
  • USCIS was going to refer 1,600 cases to the DOJ for prosecution.
  • Between 1990 and 2017, an average of 11 cases per year were pursued.

2. Systemic Issues

  • Chilling Effect: The increased scrutiny may deter legal permanent residents from applying for citizenship, fearing retroactive investigations.
  • Increased Delays: Diverting resources from application processing to investigations adds to an already overwhelmed immigration system.

3. Bigger Picture

  • Advocates say these efforts create a climate of fear and mistrust in immigrant communities.
  • Critics argue this is part of a broader effort to limit immigration and discourage naturalization applications.

The Denaturalization Process

  1. Investigation
  • USCIS or ICE finds fraud or misrepresentation in an individual’s naturalization process.
  • Audits of old files (e.g. Janus and Second Look) often trigger investigations.
  1. Referral
  • Cases are referred to the DOJ Denaturalization Section for review and prosecution.
  1. Filing
  • DOJ files a civil or criminal case in federal court, stating the grounds for denaturalization.
  1. Court Proceedings
  • Individual can contest the government’s claims.
  • The government must meet high burden of proof.
  1. Result
  • If denaturalization is granted, citizenship is revoked and the individual reverts to their prior immigration status (e.g. lawful permanent resident).
  • If no other status applies, the individual may be deported.

Legal Protections and Obstacles to Denaturalization

Supreme Court Cases

  • Maslenjak v. United States (2017): The Supreme Court held that small mistakes or irrelevant statements cannot be used to denaturalize unless they were material to the naturalization decision.

Evidence Standards

  • Denaturalization requires clear and convincing evidence in civil cases or beyond a reasonable doubt in criminal cases. These high standards are a check against arbitrary or abuse of denaturalization power.

Denaturalization in Civil Cases: Grounds and Process

Denaturalization—the revocation of U.S. citizenship—can be pursued in civil cases if the government proves the individual was not eligible for naturalization at the time it was granted. This page explains the legal grounds for civil denaturalization, the process and the key factors that can lead to citizenship revocation.


1. Grounds for Denaturalization in Civil Cases

A. Illegal Procurement or Concealment and Willful Misrepresentation

A naturalized citizen can be denaturalized if:

  • Illegally Procured: The individual did not meet the legal requirements for naturalization.
  • Obtained Through Concealment or Willful Misrepresentation: The individual knowingly made false statements or omitted material information to get naturalized.

These two often overlap as misrepresentation is often tied to illegally procured and invalid naturalization applications.


2. Key Requirements for Naturalization and Problems

  • Naturalization requires the applicant to be a lawful permanent resident (green card holder) at the time of application.
  • Fraudulent LPR Status: If the underlying green card was obtained fraudulently (e.g. through a sham marriage or misrepresentation on a visa application), the citizenship derived from it can be revoked.
  • Historical Examples: Cases under the Displaced Persons Act of 1948 involved individuals who concealed their participation in Nazi persecution. Even indirect involvement, such as being a concentration camp guard, could disqualify an individual from getting a visa and subsequently naturalization.

Example:
Joe immigrated as an unmarried child of a lawful permanent resident. But he was married before immigrating and didn’t disclose it. Since his marriage made him ineligible for his green card, Joe’s naturalization can be revoked.


B. Continuous Residence

  • Applicants must be present in the U.S. for five (or three) years before applying and until naturalization.
  • Breaking Residency: Absences of one year or more break continuous residence. Absences of more than six months but less than a year may also break residency unless justified.
  • False Claims: Making false statements about one’s residence or misrepresenting absences can lead to denaturalization.

Example:
An applicant lists their estranged spouse’s address as their own during the three-year marital period required for naturalization. If found out, this misrepresentation can be a ground for denaturalization.


C. Physical Presence

  • Applicants must be physically present in the U.S. for at least half of the five (or three) years before applying.
  • Omissions: Failing to disclose trips abroad that exceed the allowed time can lead to denaturalization.

Example:
Lupe traveled to Mexico frequently but didn’t list absences that exceeded the allowed time. When these omissions were found out, her case was referred for denaturalization.


D. Good Moral Character

  • Applicants must show good moral character during the required period.
  • Criminal History: Crimes committed before naturalization but not disclosed on the application can disqualify an individual from meeting this standard.
  • Misconduct: Even minor misconduct, such as petty offenses or false testimony, can raise moral character issues.

Example:
An individual committed a crime before obtaining naturalization, but wasn’t arrested until after becoming a citizen. Their failure to disclose this crime during the application process can lead to denaturalization.


E. Attachment to Constitutional Principles and Good Order

  • Applicants must take an oath of allegiance to the Constitution and show they are “well disposed to the good order and happiness of the United States.”
  • Cold War-Era Provision: INA § 340(c) assumes that joining certain organizations within five years of naturalization means lack of attachment to constitutional principles.

Example:
A naturalized citizen joins an organization hostile to the U.S. Constitution within five years of becoming a citizen. Unless there’s countervailing evidence, they can be denaturalized.


3. The Denaturalization Process

  1. Investigation
  • U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) or Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) finds potential fraud or ineligibility cases.
  • Audits of old files or tips from other agencies trigger investigations.
  1. Referral
  • Cases are sent to the Department of Justice (DOJ), specifically the Denaturalization Section, for prosecution.
  1. Filing a Case
  • DOJ files a civil complaint in federal court, listing the reasons for denaturalization.
  1. Proceedings
  • The government must show clear, convincing and unequivocal evidence in civil cases.
  • The individual has the right to defend their case in court.
  1. Outcome
  • If the government wins, citizenship is revoked and the individual goes back to their prior immigration status (e.g. lawful permanent resident).
  • If no other status applies, the individual can be removed (deported).

4. Key Considerations and Safeguards

Legal Protections

  • The government has a high burden of proof to avoid denaturalization being arbitrary or political.
  • Supreme Court cases like Maslenjak v. United States (2017) have held that only material misrepresentations or omissions can justify denaturalization.

Impacts on Immigrant Communities

  • Fear and Mistrust: The threat of denaturalization creates anxiety among immigrants, may discourage eligible individuals from applying for citizenship.
  • Resource Allocation: Investigating past cases may take resources away from processing new applications, further backlogging an already backlogged system.

Denaturalization: Concealment, Misrepresentation, and Other Grounds

Denaturalization, the process of revoking U.S. citizenship, has many legal grounds and processes. This guide covers concealment, willful misrepresentation, military service, Cold War-era provisions, and the denaturalization process, including defenses and court cases.


I. Concealment and Willful Misrepresentation

Grounds for Revocation

Naturalization can be revoked if:

  • Concealment of a Material Fact
  • Willful Misrepresentation

The Supreme Court in U.S. v. Kungys said:

  • Concealment must be willful, and misrepresentation must be of material facts.
  • A fact is “material” if it has a “natural tendency” to mislead immigration officials, even if the concealed information wouldn’t necessarily have prevented naturalization.

Four Requirements

To revoke citizenship for concealment or misrepresentation the government must:

  1. Willfulness: The individual knowingly hid or falsified information.
  2. Concealment or Misrepresentation: False information or omissions during the naturalization process.
  3. Materiality: The concealed or false fact was relevant to the applicant’s eligibility.
  4. Intent to Procure Naturalization: The concealment or misrepresentation was to get citizenship.

II. Examples of Concealment and Misrepresentation

  • Criminal History: Claiming not to have committed crimes or omitting arrests.
  • False Testimony: Giving false answers during the naturalization interview.
  • Address Fraud: Claiming to live at an address that is not the applicant’s actual home.
  • Failure to Take the Oath: In rare cases, not completing all steps of the naturalization process, including taking the citizenship oath, has led to revocation.

Court Precedent: If a question during the naturalization process was ambiguous and the applicant’s answer was reasonable, it can’t be fraud or concealment.


III. Wartime Military Service

Under INA § 329(a), non-citizens can naturalize through military service during wartime. But citizenship can be revoked if:

  • The individual is discharged “other than honorably” before completing five years of military service.

Constitutional Questions

  • Critics argue that revoking citizenship based on post-naturalization military conduct violates constitutional protections, as the Fourteenth Amendment protects citizenship unless voluntarily relinquished.

IV. Cold War-Era Provisions (§ 340(a) Proviso)

Naturalization can be revoked if, within 10 years of naturalization, an individual:

  • Refuses to testify before Congress on “subversive activities.”
  • Is convicted of contempt of Congress as a result.

This provision assumes the individual concealed material facts at the time of naturalization or didn’t have attachment to the Constitution. Though a relic of the Cold War, this provision is still on the books.

Constitutional Concerns

  • The proviso’s assumption that future behavior means past concealment raises constitutional issues, including equal protection and due process concerns.

V. Denaturalization Process

Step-by-Step Guide

  1. Complaint Filing:
  • Government files a complaint in U.S. district court, with supporting affidavits showing good cause.
  • Jurisdiction is based on the defendant’s current residence.
  1. Investigation and Recommendation:
  • USCIS investigates and recommends denaturalization.
  • U.S. Attorney’s Office prosecutes the case.
  1. Burden of Proof:
  • Government must prove its case by clear, unequivocal and convincing evidence.
  • Courts must construe facts in favor of the naturalized citizen whenever possible.

Denaturalization Guidelines

  • DOJ guidelines advise against revocation for minor errors or procedural irregularities unless there was fraud.
  • Long standing good conduct after naturalization can weigh against revocation.

VI. Criminal Revocation of Citizenship

Statutory Basis

18 U.S.C. § 1425 requires courts to revoke citizenship when an individual is convicted of:

  • Knowingly and unlawfully procuring naturalization.
  • Producing false documents related to naturalization.

Burden of Proof

  • In criminal cases, government must prove fraud beyond a reasonable doubt.
  • Revocation is automatic upon conviction, no notice or hearing required.

Materiality Standard

  • The false statement must have “played a role” in naturalization.
  • Citizenship can’t be revoked for immaterial falsehoods unrelated to eligibility.

VII. Defenses Against Denaturalization

A. Eligibility for Citizenship

  • If the individual can prove they would have been eligible for citizenship, denaturalization can’t proceed.
  • Example: In Maslenjak v. U.S., the Supreme Court held that eligibility for citizenship is a complete defense even if fraud occurred during the process.

B. Factual Challenges

  • Defendants can rebut government allegations by presenting evidence that challenges the facts of the case:
  • Example: In a pre-WWII case, a court held that an individual who lived abroad temporarily successfully proved they intended to remain a U.S. resident and thus defeated denaturalization.

C. Procedural Errors

  • Cases have been dismissed where the government failed to authenticate evidence as required by federal rules.

VIII. Broader Impact

Chilling Effect

Denaturalization could discourage eligible immigrants from applying for citizenship, fearing retroactive review of their applications.

Due Process

  • Courts stress the importance of fairness and caution in denaturalization cases, given the value of U.S. citizenship.


Materiality

What is Materiality

  • Materiality looks at whether the concealed or misrepresented fact had a “natural tendency” to affect the decision of the immigration official.
  • Supreme Court Precedent: In Kungys v. United States, the Court held that a misrepresentation or omission must meet this standard to warrant revocation of citizenship.

Principles

  1. The information doesn’t have to have disqualified the applicant from naturalization; it just has to be relevant enough to have influenced the decision.
  2. Materiality is only required for cases of concealment or misrepresentation, not for illegal procurement of citizenship.

II. Legal Standards for Proving Materiality

1. Causative Connection

The government must prove that the misrepresentation or concealment either:

  • Directly disqualified the individual, or
  • Would have triggered an investigation that would have uncovered disqualifying facts.

Example: In Maslenjak v. United States, the Supreme Court held that the misrepresentation must have caused the individual to acquire citizenship. The Court said:

  • If the misrepresented fact was itself disqualifying, the link to naturalization is obvious.
  • If not disqualifying, the government must show that discovery would have revealed other disqualifications.

2. Burden of Proof

  • Clear, unequivocal and convincing evidence.
  • Courts require a lot of evidence to take away citizenship, given the value of citizenship rights.

III. Court Decisions on Materiality

Important Cases

  1. Kungys v. United States
  • Misrepresentations about date and place of birth were immaterial because they were irrelevant.
  1. Maslenjak v. United States
  • False statements about a spouse’s military service were evaluated for relevance to the eligibility criteria.
  1. Chaunt v. United States
  • Failure to disclose old arrests for minor offenses was immaterial because the arrests were not for moral turpitude or eligibility.

Rejected Defenses

  • Courts have rejected arguments that certain arrests or misstatements were immaterial if they would have closed off lines of inquiry that would have revealed disqualifying information.

IV. Defenses to Materiality

1. Eligibility

  • Example: In Maslenjak, the Court said showing eligibility at the time of naturalization can prevent revocation.

2. Ambiguous Questions

  • If a naturalization question is ambiguous, courts may find the applicant’s answer was not intentionally misleading.
  • Example: In Nowak and Maisenberg, the Supreme Court held that questions about “anarchy” were too vague to require disclosure of Communist Party membership.

3. Truthful Despite Misinterpretation

  • The applicant can argue their answer was truthful based on a reasonable interpretation of the question.
  • Example: In U.S. v. Profaci, the Second Circuit held that the question “Have you ever been arrested?” could be reasonably interpreted to only apply to U.S. arrests.

V. Procedural Defenses

1. High Burden of Proof

  • The government must show clear and convincing evidence that the misrepresentation was material to the naturalization.
  • Courts are cautious when taking away citizenship long after it was given.

2. Statute of Limitations

  • Courts have held there is no statute of limitations on denaturalization.

3. Procedural Errors

  • Procedural errors, such as failure to give notice of denaturalization, can be grounds for dismissal.
  • Example: In U.S. v. Ataya, the conviction underlying denaturalization was vacated due to procedural errors.

VI. Equal Protection and Materiality

Equal Protection Claims

  • Naturalized citizens have argued that treating them differently from native-born citizens violates the Fifth Amendment’s Equal Protection Clause.
  • Courts have held denaturalization statutes are constitutional, distinguishing between citizenship rights and fraud.

Important Cases

  1. Schneider v. Rusk
  • The Supreme Court struck down a statute that discriminated against naturalized citizens living abroad, saying native-born and naturalized citizens are equal.
  1. Current Law
  • While naturalized citizens can be treated differently for fraud-related revocations, it must be rational.

VII. Practical Considerations

1. Consequences of Misrepresentation

  • Misrepresentation, even if immaterial to eligibility, can raise moral character issues and impact future immigration applications.
  • Example: False statements in other contexts can still create doubt about honesty during naturalization.

2. Chilling Effect

  • Fear of retroactive review and denaturalization may deter eligible immigrants from becoming citizens even if their applications are truthful.

3. Long-Term Consequences

  • Denaturalization proceedings show the importance of transparency and accuracy in naturalization applications to avoid problems later.

Equitable Discretion, Administrative Denaturalization and Derivatives

This guide covers denaturalization, including limits of judicial discretion, administrative denaturalization, consequences of losing citizenship and derivatives such as children and spouses.

I. Equitable Discretion in Denaturalization

Courts Cannot Exercise Discretion to Refuse Denaturalization

  • The Supreme Court has said naturalization is a privilege, not a right. Courts have no “equitable discretion” to deny denaturalization if the statutory requirements were not met.
  • Case: Fedorenko v. United States held denaturalization is mandatory if citizenship was obtained by illegal procurement or willful misrepresentation of material facts.

Government Negligence Is Not a Defense

  • Applicants can’t argue the government’s failure to catch errors during the naturalization process wipes out grounds for denaturalization.
  • Example: In U.S. v. Benavides, defenses like government negligence or comparative negligence were deemed irrelevant in denaturalization.

II. Administrative Denaturalization Enjoined

Limited Administrative Authority

  • INA § 340(h) used to allow the Attorney General to administratively revoke naturalization but that power has been curtailed:
  • Administrative revocation of naturalization is no longer allowed.
  • Only federal courts can revoke citizenship through judicial proceedings.
  • Administrative agencies like USCIS can cancel naturalization certificates if they were fraudulently issued but can’t strip individuals of citizenship.

Important Case: Xia v. Tillerson

  • In this case, Chinese nationals challenged the administrative cancellation of their naturalization certificates.
  • The court held:
  • Canceling a naturalization certificate does not revoke the underlying citizenship.
  • If citizenship is in question, the government must initiate judicial proceedings under INA § 1451.

III. Consequences of Denaturalization

Relation-Back Doctrine

  • Revocation of citizenship is retroactive, as if the person was never naturalized.
  • The individual reverts back to their pre-naturalization immigration status (e.g., LPR or undocumented).

Criminal Consequences

  • Crimes committed after naturalization can’t be used as grounds for deportation once citizenship is revoked.
  • Supreme Court Ruling: The relation-back doctrine doesn’t apply to post-naturalization crimes.

IV. Derivatives

Derivatives Defined

  • Derivatives are individuals who claim citizenship through a parent or spouse, usually children born abroad or spouses of citizens.

Rules

  1. Concealment or Misrepresentation
  • If a parent or spouse loses citizenship for these reasons, derivative citizens lose theirs too, wherever they are.
  • Example: If a parent lied about prior convictions to get citizenship, the child’s derivative citizenship is also revoked.
  1. Illegal Procurement
  • Derivatives don’t lose citizenship if the parent or spouse’s citizenship is revoked for illegal procurement.
  • Example: A parent’s invalid marriage might void their citizenship but wouldn’t affect the child’s status.
  1. Other grounds (e.g. military service or subversive activities)
  • Derivatives lose citizenship only if they are outside the U.S. at the time of the parent’s denaturalization.

Examples of Derivative Outcomes

  • Military Service: If a parent gets citizenship through military service but is dishonorably discharged, children outside the U.S. lose their citizenship. Children in the U.S. keep theirs.
  • Misrepresentation: If a parent lied on the application, derivatives lose citizenship wherever they are.

V. Derivative Citizenship Rules Summary

Grounds for Revocation

 

Grounds for Revocation

Living in the U.S.?

Living Outside the U.S.?

Illegal Procurement No loss of status No loss of status
Concealment or Misrepresentation Citizenship revoked Citizenship revoked
Other Grounds (Military/Subversive Acts) Retains citizenship Citizenship revoked

VI. Practical Considerations

Protecting Citizenship

  • Naturalized citizens should be honest in their applications and aware of the consequences of their actions before and after naturalization.

Impact on Family Members

  • Derivatives should monitor any legal challenges involving the principal applicant as the outcome may affect their status.

Administrative Errors

  • Administrative errors in issuing certificates may require judicial resolution to determine the status of the affected individuals.

United States v. Farhane: A Denaturalization Case

The case of United States v. Abdulrahman Farhane is an important case related to denaturalization issue. This article breaks down the key events and implications of this big legal battle that affects naturalized citizens.


Background: Farhane’s Story

  • Who is Abdulrahman Farhane?
  • Moroccan-born, naturalized Muslim American living in Brooklyn.
  • Built a life in the U.S. over 30 years, with two American-born kids.
  • The Guilty Plea
  • In 2006, Farhane pleaded guilty to federal charges, his lawyer advised him to do so.
  • He served 11 years in prison, good time, and got out early.
  • The Denaturalization Threat
  • After his release, the Department of Justice (DOJ) started to pursue his U.S. citizenship revocation.
  • If successful, Farhane would be deported and his children’s derivative citizenship would be revoked.

Legal Issues: Effective Counsel

  • Ineffective Assistance of Counsel
  • Farhane’s original lawyer didn’t tell him about the denaturalization consequences of his guilty plea.
  • The omission is the basis of Farhane’s motion to vacate his plea.
  • The Creating Law Enforcement Accountability & Responsibility (CLEAR) Project at CUNY Law, along with Wilmer Hale, represents Farhane.
  • They argued that the failure to advise Farhane violated his Sixth Amendment right to effective counsel.

Court Proceedings: Timeline

Initial Proceedings

  • 2019-2020: Farhane filed a 28 U.S.C. § 2255 motion to vacate his guilty plea.
  • The district court denied the motion in March 2020.
  • October 2024: The en banc court reversed the district court’s decision.
  • Holding: Naturalized citizens must be advised of denaturalization and deportation consequences at the time of guilty plea.

What it means

For Naturalized Citizens

  • Legal counsel must inform defendants of immigration consequences of guilty pleas.
  • Stronger defense against retroactive denaturalization.

For Immigration Law

  • Trump administration’s effort to expand denaturalization beyond war criminals and Nazis to Muslim Americans and other groups.
  • Educates on due process for naturalized citizens facing legal trouble.

For Farhane and His Family

  • Farhane keeps his citizenship and his children keep their citizenship.
  • Big win for advocates and immigrant rights groups.

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https://immpolicytracking.org/media/documents/ACLU_Fact_Sheet_on_Denaturalization.pdf

 

 

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Trump’s Mass Detention and Deportation

Trump’s 2025 Immigration Plans Unfold

Donald Trump’s incoming administration is putting the pieces in place for big immigration changes and it’s looking a lot like his first term. As his plans become more clear, let’s break it down step by step including new info and context, particularly focusing on Trump’s mass deportation plan and its implications for various industries, especially private prisons.

Trump’s New Focus

Unlike his first campaign where the wall was the main focus, Trump’s 2024 agenda is:

  • Interior Enforcement: Going after undocumented immigrants already in the U.S.
  • Mass Deportations: Increasing detention and removal.
  • Policy Rollbacks: Reversing Biden policies.

Trump Allies Start Preparing for Mass Immigration Detention

Getting Serious

As Donald Trump becomes president-elect his allies and some private sector players are gearing up for mass detention and deportation of undocumented immigrants in the U.S. At the Republican National Convention hold, the atmosphere was charged, with attendees raising signs demanding mass deportation. Immigration enforcement was a big part of Trump’s 2024 campaign and now it’s interior enforcement instead of just border control.

Day One Priorities

According to Jason Miller, a Trump senior adviser, the first order of business will be to put back in place the border policies of the Trump administration and reverse many of the Biden policies. Early discussions among Trump’s team include going after undocumented immigrants with criminal records and the hot button issue of deporting Dreamers—immigrants brought to the U.S. as children.

The Dreamer Debate

Dreamers, many of whom are protected under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, have traditionally been bipartisan. Targeting this group would be a big departure from previous administrations. Trump’s team hasn’t made up their minds on this yet.

Policy Under Review

1. “Remain in Mexico” Policy

  • Migrants seeking asylum in the U.S. would have to stay in Mexico during their immigration proceedings.
  • This would reduce the number of migrants entering the U.S. while awaiting decisions.
  • Critics say it puts migrants in danger in border cities.

2. Asylum Restrictions

  • Tighter rules to limit asylum eligibility to prevent what the administration sees as frivolous claims.
  • Re-defining the “credible fear” standard to make it harder for migrants to qualify for asylum.
  • Reversal of Biden’s humanitarian parole programs which allowed entry for certain groups in danger.

3. ICE Enforcement Priorities

  • Dismantling Biden’s enforcement priorities which focused on public safety and national security threats.
  • Expand enforcement to more undocumented immigrants.

4. Mandatory Detention for Migrants

  • End the practice of releasing migrants due to resource constraints.
  • Detention would be mandatory for most migrants pending court proceedings.
  • To discourage unlawful border crossing by eliminating release.

Building the Detention Infrastructure

Detention Facilities

  • Metropolitan Areas: Reviewing cities with existing capacity to expand, like Los Angeles and Houston.
  • New Detention Centers: Building new facilities to house more migrants.
  • Private Sector: CoreCivic, the largest private prison operator, has already said they will increase capacity. GEO Group is another big player expected to help.
  • County Jails: Working with local jails to add detention space, especially in border states.

National Emergency Declaration

  • Using a national emergency to access Pentagon resources for detention expansion.
  • Trump did this during his first term but it was met with legal challenges from civil rights groups and lawsuits.
  • Will tailor the declaration to minimize legal exposure and maximize resources.

Family Detention

  • Reinstating family detention, a practice ended by President Biden.
  • Family detention centers are being reviewed for operational readiness in Texas and Arizona.
  • Advocates say it will cause long term psychological harm to children, administration says it’s a deterrent to illegal entry.

Who’s Behind the Policy

Trump’s team includes:

  • Tom Homan: Appointed as “border czar” with years of immigration enforcement experience.
  • Stephen Miller: Deputy chief of staff for policy, hardline immigration guy.
  • Kristi Noem: South Dakota governor to head Department of Homeland Security.
  • Rodney Scott: Former U.S. Border Patrol Chief, border security operations expert.
  • Michael Banks: Adviser to Texas Governor Greg Abbott on border issues, state-federal coordination.

They know the system, many have implemented previous enforcement measures. They’re focused on operational efficiency and legal fortification to withstand lawsuits.

Operational Tactics

Targeting Migrants Already in the U.S.

  • Executive orders to stop the flow at the border.
  • First focus on identifying and removing undocumented immigrants in the U.S., those with criminal records or prior deportations.

Staging and Worksite Raids

  • Large staging facilities near the border to process and detain migrants quickly.
  • Bringing back worksite raids that were ended by the Biden administration, targeting employers of undocumented workers.
  • Harsher penalties for employers who hire undocumented immigrants.

Obstacles

Funding

Big deportations require big money. The cost to apprehend, detain, process and deport one immigrant was $10,900 in 2016, with transportation costs averaging $1,978 per person. Since then costs have gone up so they need to plan the budget aggressively to not have to reprogram funds from other areas.

  • Relying on reprogramming existing agency funds since Congress won’t provide more.
  • May turn to private sector partnerships to add resources.
  • Looking into alternative funding mechanisms, like reassigning Department of Defense funds, to support detention expansion.

Detention Space

  • One big problem with mass deportations is detention space. The federal government relies on private contractors and county jails for detention facilities. According to John Sandweg, former acting ICE director, most detention facilities are run by contractors, with very little owned directly by the government.

Personnel Shortages

  • ICE has ongoing staffing issues. Adding personnel and resources will be key to achieving the administration’s goals especially since deportation logistics for individuals from countries outside of Mexico and Central America will be more complicated.

Country-Specific Challenges

  • Deportations can vary by country. For example:
    • Mexico and Central America: Deportations are faster since there are established processes and agreements.
    • Other Countries: These require more coordination, documentation and compliance with different travel requirements which can delay removals.

Legal and Political Pushback

  • Democrats and immigration advocates will sue in court and Congress.
  • Family detention, worksite raids and detention expansion will be controversial.
  • Civil rights groups are already preparing to sue over expected executive orders.

Implementation Challenges

  • Trump’s plan requires coordination among federal, state and local agencies.
  • Achieving the big deportations will involve navigating logistical, legal and political hurdles.
  • Prioritizing enforcement with limited resources is a big issue.

Mixed Reaction at DHS

Internal Responses

Homeland Security Department (DHS) is preparing for big immigration policy change. Some are excited to go back to enforcement, others are worried about bringing back policies that were dismantled under the Biden administration.

Policy Reversals

Biden-era programs like parole programs that allow certain nationalities to live and work in the US temporarily will be rolled back immediately. These programs had been working to reduce migrant crossings in recent months after the big border crises earlier in Biden’s term.

Private Sector

The private sector, particularly companies that manage detention facilities, are gearing up. They have existing contracts with the federal government which could speed up the expansion of detention capacity. But overall scalability is a question of money and logistics.

Deportation Numbers in Context

  • Trump’s first term: 1.5 million
  • Obama’s first term: 2.9 million
  • Obama’s second term: 1.9 million
  • Trump’s numbers don’t include border turnbacks under COVID policies.
  • Biden’s administration was criticized for continuing Trump’s Title 42 expulsions.

What’s Next

  • First 100 Days: Executive orders to secure the border and deport more.
  • Migrants: Stricter policies will mean big changes for migrants and immigrants already in the US, longer detention and fewer legal options for relief.
  • National Conversation: As policies change the debate will be about human rights, public safety and national security.

Trump’s Mass Deportation Plan: No Cost, But Consequences

Deporting Millions

President-Elect Donald Trump has repeated his promise to deport millions of undocumented immigrants. “No cost” he said in an NBC interview. “When people have killed and murdered, when drug lords have destroyed countries, they’re not staying here. There is no cost.”

The American Immigration Council estimates the cost of this massive deportation effort would be $315 billion. But Trump is willing to do it regardless of cost or logistics.

Democratic Officials Oppose

Trump’s deportation plan will face fierce opposition from Democratic governors, mayors and local officials across the country. Many have vowed to protect their communities from what they see as extreme and inhumane policies. Some of them are:

  • Gavin Newsom, Governor of California: Newsom is calling a special session to protect immigrant rights and “defend California values.”
  • Karen Bass, Mayor of Los Angeles: With a third of her city’s residents foreign-born, Bass stands with immigrants and calls on local leaders to act.
  • JB Pritzker, Governor of Illinois: “You come for my people, you come through me.”
  • Kathy Hochul, Governor of New York: Will cooperate on some things but will fight anything that hurts New Yorkers’ rights and freedoms.

Sanctuary Cities

The Trump administration is considering punishing sanctuary cities and states that don’t cooperate with federal immigration enforcement. That could mean withholding federal funds from local police departments. That will likely be challenged in court and create more tension between the feds and locals.

International Fallout: Canada Prepares

Trump’s policies are already affecting Canada where officials are bracing for a wave of migrants fleeing deportation. Canada has:

  • Enhanced Border Security: RCMP and border services are on high alert and have developed plans.
  • Past Experience: Officials are drawing from past trends of increased crossings during Trump’s first term and are preparing for “similar situations.”

Southern Border

On the southern border the outgoing Biden administration is addressing the increase in illegal crossings as smugglers rush to get migrants into the US before Trump’s policies kick in. This is a complication of migration and the unintended consequences of tough talk.

Military Involvement: Bad Sign

Trump’s campaign talk has raised questions about the military’s role in enforcing immigration policies and quelling protests. Some of that:

  • Pentagon’s Statement: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said the military will have a “smooth, orderly and professional transition” to the Trump administration and will follow lawful orders.
  • Military Use: Critics are concerned about the military being used to quell internal dissent, given Trump’s repeated admiration for authoritarian leaders.

Humanitarian and Legal Issues

The trump mass detention and deportation plan has humanitarian and legal problems:

  • Family Separations: Large scale deportations could mean widespread family separations, especially for children born in the US to undocumented parents.
  • Economic Impact: The American Immigration Council points out labor shortages in industries like agriculture, hospitality and construction that rely heavily on undocumented workers.
  • Legal Challenges: Cities and states opposing Trump’s policies will file extensive legal challenges and slow down implementation and enforcement.

Components of a Mass Deportation Plan

1. Detention Infrastructure

  • Big Detention Centers: Build large facilities to hold undocumented immigrants while they await deportation. These would be located in remote areas to avoid public scrutiny and local opposition.
  • Privatization of Detention Facilities: Renew contracts with private prison companies to manage immigrant detention centers.
  • Temporary “Staging Centers”: Use temporary camps to house surges in detentions like those proposed by Trump advisor Stephen Miller.
  • Transportation Network: Create a secure transportation system to move detainees to different facilities or deportation points.

This would require federal funding and could lead to overcrowding and underfunding like previous detention crises.

2. ICE Operations

Trump’s plan depends on the former ICE officials being able to apprehend and remove many more undocumented individuals. That means:

  • Hiring Thousands of New Agents: ICE will likely launch a big recruitment drive and lower hiring standards to meet the numbers.
  • Surveillance Technology: Facial recognition, drones, AI-powered data analytics and geolocation tracking to find and apprehend undocumented immigrants.
  • Local Law Enforcement Partnerships: Expand 287(g) programs where local police are deputized as immigration enforcement officers and can cover the whole US.
  • Workplace Raids: Increase frequency of raids on undocumented workers, especially in agriculture, construction and hospitality with penalties for employers who don’t comply.

3. Undermining Legal Protections for Immigrants

To speed up deportations the incoming Trump administration will likely weaken legal protections for immigrants. Some of that:

  • Elimination of Due Process: Expand expedited removal which bypasses immigration court for certain individuals.
  • Deny Legal Representation: Limit immigrants’ access to lawyers by cutting funding to organizations that help migrants.
  • Asylum Claims: Bring back programs like “Remain in Mexico” which bars asylum claims for individuals who pass through third countries without applying there first and stricter eligibility criteria.

4. Repeal of DACA and TPS

The incoming Trump admin administration has already targeted programs like DACA and TPS. They will likely:

  • End DACA: Take away protections from over 600,000 Dreamers and subject them to deportation. They would also lose their work permits and access to education.
  • Rescind TPS: Take away protections from individuals from countries in crisis like natural disasters or armed conflicts, potentially impacting hundreds of thousands.
  • Visa Overstay Enforcement: Focus on tracking and deporting visa overstayers, the majority of undocumented immigrants.

5. Bring back “Operation Wetback”

Trump has often referred to Operation Wetback, a 1950s deportation program, as a model for his plans. A modern version could be:

  • Mass Deportation Raids: Coordinated removal of large numbers of individuals in a short period of time targeting specific communities.
  • Harsh Enforcement: Prolonged detentions, aggressive sweeps and mass roundups in residential areas.
  • Targeting Vulnerable Communities: Operations in areas with large immigrant populations to create fear and instability.

6. Legislative and Executive Actions

While mass deportations face legal and practical obstacles, the Trump administration will:

  • Executive Orders: Go around Congress and implement policies on their own, bypassing legislative gridlock.
  • Pressure Congress for Immigration Reforms: Pass laws that criminalize being undocumented, simplify deportation process and limit judicial review.
  • Sue Sanctuary Cities: Challenge states and cities that don’t cooperate with federal immigration enforcement and withhold federal funds.

Background

Trump’s mass deportations are reminiscent of dark chapters in history:

  • Operation Wetback (1950s): This program had significant human rights abuses, deaths and wrongful deportations of US citizens. Its legacy is a warning against government overreach.
  • Japanese American Internment (1940s): The forced relocation and detention of Japanese Americans during World War II is considered a great injustice and a warning against targeting groups based on identity.
  • Post 9/11 Immigration Crackdowns: Policies after 9/11 led to racial profiling, wrongful detentions and strained international relations.

History has shown that large scale detention and deportation efforts lead to unintended consequences, reputational damage, social division and long term harm to vulnerable communities.

The Psychological Cost of Deportation Policies

Fear and its Reach

The Trump administration’s deportation policies have ravaged the mental health of immigrant communities across the country. For millions documented and undocumented, the constant threat of deportation, family separation and hostility has created a culture of fear and psychological pain. As a psychiatrist and mental health advocate I have seen how this fear plays out in individuals and families, anxiety, trauma and depression that seeps into daily life.

This is personal to me. I immigrated to the US as a young man with legal status. I know the uncertainty many immigrants face. For many others this uncertainty isn’t just psychological it’s a matter of life and death.

Living in Fear: The Daily Reality of Immigrants

Imagine waking up every day not knowing if it will be your last day with your family. Deportation policies under the Trump administration have created a culture of terror that affects everyone from children to seniors.

Psychological Effects:

  • Chronic Anxiety: Fear of raids or separation can lead to anxiety.
  • Depression: Hopelessness from uncertainty.
  • PTSD: Continuous exposure to fear and threats creates long term trauma.

Effects on Children:

  • Emotional Distress: Nightmares, can’t concentrate, behavioral problems.
  • Physical Symptoms: Headaches, stomach issues, sleep disturbances.
  • Developmental Challenges: Growing up in this kind of stress hinders emotional and psychological development making it harder to form healthy adult relationships and trust.

The Trauma of Family Separation: Long Term Scars

The “zero tolerance” policy that led to mass family separation inflicted deep emotional wounds on both parents and children. Although the policy has ended the damage has not.

Separation Consequences:

  1. For Children:
    • Emotional disconnection and attachment issues.
    • Higher risk of long term mental health disorders like PTSD.
    • Behavioral regression and difficulty adjusting in school.
  2. For Parents:
    • Overwhelming guilt and powerlessness.
    • Depression and prolonged grief.
    • Difficulty rebuilding trust with their children even after reunification.

Intergenerational Impact:

  • Families carry the emotional baggage of these separations into future generations. Reunited families often face extra challenges to get back to normal.

The Stigma of “Otherness”: Discrimination and its Psychological Toll

The administration’s rhetoric on immigration has fueled xenophobia especially towards immigrants from Latin America. The harmful narrative that immigrants are threats or criminals makes immigrants feel like outsiders and causes psychological harm.

Psychological Effects of Discrimination:

  • Internalized Shame: Immigrants feel devalued or unwanted in society.
  • Mental Health Struggles: Discrimination leads to depression, anxiety and low self esteem.
  • Social Isolation: Immigrants may withdraw from communities, limiting their access to support systems and resources.

Intersection with Economic Stress:

  • Immigrants in industries like agriculture and construction face double stress from discrimination, fear of deportation and precarious work.

Industry Impact: Economic and Human Cost

Deportation policies affect more than families, industries that rely heavily on immigrant labor like agriculture and construction lose valuable workers and long term uncertainty.

Human Cost:

  • Immigrant workers live under extreme stress, reducing productivity and morale.
  • Families that depend on these incomes are economically unstable and mental health worsens.

Solutions: Addressing the Psychological Crisis

Healing from these policies requires a multi faceted approach that combines mental health care, legal protections and community support.

Steps to Healing:

  1. Culturally Competent Mental Health Care:
    • Trauma informed therapy for the immigrant experience.
    • Multilingual services to address language barriers.
    • Community based support groups to share healing.
  1. Legal Protections:
    • Pathways to citizenship, work permits and residency status.
    • Policies that reduce deportation threats.
    • Legal services for families with complex immigration cases.
  1. Community Outreach:
    • Schools, non-profits and faith based organizations must work together to offer mental health services.
    • Training for educators and healthcare providers to recognize and address trauma in immigrant populations.
  1. Public Advocacy:
    • Campaigns to combat xenophobia and highlight immigrant contributions.
    • Legislation to ensure humane immigration policies that prioritize family unity and mental health.

Next Steps

Deportation policies have a psychological cost. But immigrant communities are strong and can be stronger with solidarity, advocacy and systemic change. Healing from these policies is not only the right thing to do but necessary for a just and compassionate society.

What We Can Do:

  • Empathy and Support: Acknowledge the humanity of immigrants and what they go through.
  • Legislative Change: Push for policies that bring stability and security to immigrant families.
  • Mental Health Priority: Fund programs and services for immigrants to heal and thrive.

Healing and Dignity

The damage from deportation policies is deep but healing is possible. By addressing the mental health of immigrant communities, creating legal pathways to stability and building an inclusive environment we can restore lives shattered by fear and uncertainty.

Let’s stand together so all people regardless of status can live with dignity, safety and hope.

Trump’s Deportation Plan and How it Affects Asian American Communities

Proposed Deportation Plan

President-elect Trump’s campaign has been talking about big changes to immigration and mass deportations. Undocumented Chinese nationals, especially those of “military age” are reportedly the main target. This has Asian American organizations moving fast to respond to this. Many of them anticipated this and are now mobilizing resources to support affected communities.

Key Points:

  • Deporting undocumented Chinese nationals of military age.
  • They are a national security threat.
  • Asian American groups are preparing for the fallout of these policies, including increased deportation sweeps and anti-China rhetoric.

Undocumented Asian Population Growth

Asian Americans are the fastest growing segment of the undocumented immigrant population in the US. From 2000 to 2015, the population tripled and the number of undocumented Chinese has been increasing rapidly:

  • Between FY 2022 and 2024, Chinese entries at US borders went from 27,000 to over 78,000.
  • This is part of a broader migration trend driven by political instability, economic challenges and limited opportunities in China.

Demographics:

  • Most of these individuals are young men, many fleeing military conscription, political persecution or harsh economic realities.
  • Many are part of mixed status families making deportation enforcement more complicated.

Historical Context and Concerns

Bethany Li, executive director of the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund, noted historical precedent:

  • World War II: Japanese Americans were interned based on national security threat.
  • Post 9/11: Muslim and South Asian men were detained and deported for similar reasons.
  • Li also mentioned modern policies such as state laws restricting Chinese nationals’ property ownership and the China Initiative which is accused of racial profiling.

Trump’s Statements:

At an April rally, Trump said:

“They’re coming in from China … and they’re all military age and they mostly are men. Are they trying to build a little army in our country?”

Asian American Organizations Act

Asian American groups are mobilizing to respond to the deportation threat. Their work is on education, legal assistance and resource coordination:

What Advocacy Groups Are Doing:

  1. Language-Specific Outreach:
    • Creating multilingual materials to educate affected individuals of their rights.
    • Disseminating information on immigration policies and deportation process.
  1. Legal Support:
    • artnering with immigration attorneys who speak Asian languages to support families.
    • Training community organizations to help immigrants get their records through FOIA.
  1. Scenario Planning:
    • Meeting to prepare for immigration sweeps.
    • Building networks with other non-profits to support mixed status families.
  1. Public Awareness Campaigns:
    • Showcasing nonprofit services to encourage affected individuals to seek help.
    • Educating communities of their rights when interacting with US immigration officials.
  1. Emergency Preparedness:
    • Distributing “know your rights” cards in multiple languages.
    • Developing plans for affected families to respond to raids or legal actions.

Broader Context and Community Impact

The targeting of Chinese nationals is part of a growing anti-China sentiment that many experts believe goes beyond administrations. While Trump’s policies exacerbate this, the Biden administration has also been removing 1.1 million since FY 2021.

More:

  • Many Chinese migrants come to the US to escape economic hardship and political discontent in their home country.
  • Anti-China rhetoric further isolates and marginalizes Asian American communities making existing fears and discrimination worse.
  • The broader Asian diaspora is under surveillance and suspicion and needs solidarity among impacted communities.

International

The Chinese Embassy in Washington D.C. has said they will cooperate with other countries on repatriation of undocumented immigrants. But how will this be implemented under second Trump administration?

Chinese Embassy Statement:

“China has cooperation with some countries on repatriation of illegal immigrants and is willing to strengthen cooperation with relevant countries on this issue.”

What to Do for Vulnerable Communities

Asian American leaders stress the need for solidarity and resilience. Jo-Ann Yoo, executive director of Asian American Federation, advises communities to stay informed and proactive:

Take Action:

  • Educate: Know your rights and legal resources.
  • Organize: Build networks among nonprofits, legal experts and advocacy groups.
  • Support: Create community networks to address deportation emotional and logistical challenges.
  • Advocate: Demand legislative changes to protect vulnerable populations and stop discriminatory policies.

More:

  • Multilingual legal hotlines.
  • Workshops on asylum, work permits and other legal options.
  • Community led support groups for emotional and psychological support.

Yoo concluded: “No time to rest. We see danger. We will push and we will be brave.”

Take Action:

  • Get local officials to be transparent on enforcement.
  • Get allies and advocacy groups to lift up impacted communities.
  • Build grassroots to counter xenophobia and racial profiling.

Fact Check: Can Trump use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 for Mass Deportations?

Former President Donald Trump is centering his 2024 campaign on immigration reforms, including the largest deportation operation in US history. He recently said he would use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to do so. Here’s a breakdown of the law, its history and if he can.

What Is the Alien Enemies Act of 1798?

The Alien Enemies Act is one of four laws that make up the Alien and Sedition Acts passed in 1798 during the Quasi War with France. Three of those laws were repealed or allowed to expire but the Alien Enemies Act is still in effect today. Here’s what it says:

  • Purpose: Allows the president to detain or deport individuals from a foreign nation deemed “hostile” to the US during war or in response to a “predatory incursion” (invasion or raid).
  • Authority: Allows the president to act without hearings for individuals from enemy nations.
  • Historical Context: Originally to prevent espionage and sabotage during war.

The law’s broad language means it could apply to immigrants who have committed no crimes and are legally in the country. But its applications are tied to wartime scenarios so it’s limited in peacetime.

Alien Enemies Act History

The Alien Enemies Act has been used three times in US history, all during war:

1. 1812 War

  • President: James Madison
  • Target: British nationals in the US
  • Actions: Required individuals to provide details such as age, length of time in the US and citizenship applications. Some were detained and deported as tensions rose.

2. World War I

  • President: Woodrow Wilson
  • Target: Nationals of Germany and its allies (e.g. Austria-Hungary)
  • Actions: Implemented broad surveillance, detentions and deportations of individuals suspected of espionage or sabotage.

3. World War II

  • President: Franklin D. Roosevelt
  • Target: Citizens of Germany, Italy, Japan
  • Actions: Used to intern enemy aliens in internment camps. While the act targeted non-citizens, Japanese American citizens were detained under a separate executive order.

Can Trump use the Act for Mass Deportations?

Legal Limitations

Experts agree Trump can’t use the Alien Enemies Act for the kind of mass deportations he’s talking about. Here’s why:

  1. War or Invasion: The law can only be used if the US is at war with a foreign government or under threat of invasion by a foreign entity.
    • The US is not at war with any nation.
    • Mexican drug cartels or Venezuelan gangs like Tren de Aragua do not qualify as foreign governments.
  1. Scope of the Law: The act applies to nationals of specific hostile nations, not to individuals from all countries.
  2. Historical Precedent: The law has only been used during war and has never been used for peacetime deportations.

Additional Considerations

  • Misinterpretation of “Invasion”: Trump and his allies have called illegal immigration and border activity an “invasion” but experts say that doesn’t meet the criteria for using the act.
  • Modern Context: Current immigration issues, including gang violence and cartel activity, are better addressed through existing immigration and criminal laws not wartime powers.

Expert Opinions

  • Katherine Yon Ebright: Using the Alien Enemies Act outside of its wartime context would be a departure from centuries of legal and presidential practice.
  • Ilya Somin (George Mason University): Calling immigration or drug smuggling at the border an “invasion” doesn’t meet the legal definition to use this law.
  • Steve Vladeck (University of Texas): Existing immigration laws already provide frameworks for deportations but mass deportations are resource intensive and legally complex.

Legal and Political Hurdles

Even if Trump tried to use the Alien Enemies Act, it would face major legal and logistical problems:

Court Challenges:

  • Courts have ruled that issues like the definition of “invasion” or “wartime” are political questions and therefore not justiciable.
  • But using the act outside of wartime would open the door to unprecedented legal scrutiny.

Resource Constraints:

  • Mass deportations would require enormous resources to identify, detain and process individuals. Previous administrations have struggled with much smaller operations.
  • Detention facilities, legal processing capacity and enforcement personnel would need to be expanded, which would require congressional approval and funding.

Public and International Blowback:

  • Mass deportation initiatives, especially under questionable legal authority, could face public opposition and strain relations with affected countries.

Past Deportation Efforts: A Comparison

Trump Administration

  • Promised mass deportations in 2016 but didn’t deliver.
  • Deportations (FY 2017-2020): 2 million
  • Includes deportations initiated under Obama.

Obama Administration

  • Deported 3.2 million in his first term and 2.1 million in his second term.

Biden Administration

  • Deportations (2020-present): 4.4 million (as of June 2024)
  • Most in a single term since George W. Bush’s second term (5 million)

Trump’s Deportation Plan: Lessons from History and Dangerous Echoes

A Dangerous Vision: Mass Deportation

July 17, 2024. At the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, a disturbing scene unfolded as attendees waved signs that read “Mass Deportation Now.” Former President Donald Trump, running for re-election, unveiled a plan to deport up to 20 million people, more than the estimated number of undocumented immigrants in the US today. This would turn into a massive detention system with devastating human and societal consequences.

Mass civilian detention based on identity is not new. From Spanish-occupied Cuba in the 19th century to Nazi Germany and beyond, the history of such camps is bloody and brutal. Trump’s plan for a national deportation program draws from this dark history, using flawed reasoning and pseudoscience that has underpinned some of humanity’s worst moments.

Dehumanizing Rhetoric: A Prequel to Atrocities

Trump has used inflammatory language to describe immigrants, saying they are “poisoning” the “blood” of the country. Such rhetoric is a precursor to atrocities. For example:

  • Pseudoscience and Fear-Mongering: In the 20th century, regimes used scientific language to justify inhumane policies. Terms like “blood poisoning” and false claims of immigrants and disease were used to justify forced expulsions and internments.
  • Historical Parallels: The Nazi regime called Jews “vermin” and “parasites” and framed them as a biological threat. Trump has called immigrants “animals,” “rapists” and other dehumanizing terms.

This language does more than insult—it prepares the public to accept detention camps and forced deportations as necessary.

The History of Concentration Camps: Lessons Ignored

Concentration camps have been used to detain civilians based on identity with catastrophic results. A look back shows how these systems develop and the horrors they unleash:

Early Examples

  • Spanish Cuba: In the late 1800s, Spanish authorities created camps to intern civilians during the Cuban rebellion. Overcrowding, disease and starvation killed tens of thousands. These camps were the precursor to modern mass detention systems.
  • South African War: British camps during the South African War (1899-1902) had high mortality rates, especially among children, due to lack of food, unsanitary conditions and no medical care. Bureaucratic inefficiencies and racial discrimination made it worse.

World War II and Beyond

  • Nazi Germany: Initially, Nazi policies focused on forced emigration of Jews, who were stripped of citizenship to make them stateless. Camps started as internment facilities but became death camps where millions died.
  • Vichy France: During World War II, the French government interned foreign Jews who had fled Nazi Germany, later deporting many to concentration camps. Internment was supposed to be containment but became collaboration with genocide.
  • Japanese American Internment: The U.S. detained over 120,000 Japanese Americans during World War II under the guise of national security. Families were uprooted and sent to remote camps with devastating economic and emotional costs. Decades later this was acknowledged as a great injustice.

In each case, what started as control or “security” measures became widespread human rights abuses and death. Camps meant to be temporary solutions became instruments of systemic oppression and violence.

Trump’s Plan: A Recipe for Chaos and Suffering

The scale of Trump’s deportation plan is unprecedented:

Logistical Nightmares

  • Personnel and Resources: Mass deportations on this scale would require an enormous expansion of enforcement agencies, detention facilities and logistical networks. The U.S. doesn’t have the personnel, infrastructure or funding to do this without societal collapse.
  • Legal Obstacles: Existing laws and constitutional protections would have to be torn down or ignored, leading to a tsunami of lawsuits and erosion of the rule of law. Protections for children, families and asylum seekers would be among the first to go.

Deliberate Chaos

  • Economic Impact: Deporting millions of workers would create a labor vacuum, crippling industries like agriculture, construction and hospitality that rely heavily on immigrant labor. The ripple effects would destabilize local economies and increase consumer costs.
  • Human Cost: Detention camps would likely be as overcrowded and under-resourced as they were during Trump’s first term, with reports of no medical care, unsanitary conditions and abuse.

Operation Wetback

Trump and his advisors have praised “Operation Wetback,” a 1950s deportation program that was marked by abuse and inhumane conditions. In one incident 88 deported workers died of heat exhaustion in 112 degree temperatures. This program was smaller in scale but set the precedent for brutality that Trump’s plan will replicate on a much larger scale.

The Human and Moral Consequences

Mass detention camps will bring:

  • Human Rights Violations: History shows these systems quickly become sites of neglect, abuse and mass death. Reports from existing detention centers already show severe mistreatment including family separation and death in custody.
  • Precedent for Dictatorship: Authoritarian regimes have used similar systems to silence opposition and consolidate power. A mass deportation program could easily be expanded to target other groups deemed undesirable.
  • Irreparable Harm: The social and psychological damage from mass detention and deportation is deep. Communities would be torn apart, trust in institutions would be eroded and the nation’s moral standing would be irreparably damaged.

A Warning

The signs at the Republican National Convention are a warning. Trump and his allies, including Stephen Miller, have outlined plans for “staging centers” to detain millions. This is not just logistical chaos, it’s a moral and humanitarian crisis.

As Americans we must look at these policies and their historical analogues. The lessons are clear: mass detention and forced relocation is deadly, destabilizing and un-American. History is full of examples of how these policies get out of control and leave destruction in their wake.

Trump’s Mass Deportation Plan: A Bonanza for Private Prisons

As President-elect Donald Trump prepares for his second term his promise to deport millions of undocumented immigrants is getting a lot of attention. Beyond the political and social implications one industry sees a goldmine: private prisons. With mass detentions expected private prison companies are positioning themselves to profit.

Private Prisons in Immigration Detention

For years U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has used private contractors to house detained immigrants. This has turned immigration detention into a multi-million dollar business. Under Trump’s first term the number of immigrants held in private detention facilities reached an all-time high. Now with his renewed focus on mass deportations industry leaders expect another surge in demand.

Executives See “Big Opportunity”

George Zoley, founder of the Geo Group—the largest private prison operator in the U.S.—called Trump’s immigration plan a “sea change” for the industry. On a corporate earnings call he said, “The Geo Group was built for this moment in time and the opportunities that will come with it.”

CoreCivic, the second largest private prison operator, is getting ready for more business. Executives say the post-election environment means it’s an active time for detention services.

Private Prisons See Stock Market Boost

The election is already affecting the stock market. After Trump’s win Geo Group and CoreCivic stocks went up, reflecting investor confidence in Trump’s deportation plans.

Preparation for Mass Deportations

Trump’s plan, led by new border czar Tom Homan, includes deporting undocumented immigrants on “Day 1” of his presidency. Homan, a former ICE director, has long advocated for private detention facilities saying they are cheaper and better than government run centers.

Existing Capacity and Expansion Plans

Private prison companies are already gearing up:

  • Geo Group: The company has 10,000 empty beds across six facilities and 8,000 beds at ICE and U.S. Marshals facilities under existing contracts. They claim they have the technology and staff to ramp up quickly.
  • CoreCivic: They are making more beds available as the new administration gets underway.

The Bonanza for Contractors

Experts say Trump’s plan will be a goldmine for private prison operators. John Sandweg, former acting director of ICE said the administration will offer “massive contracts” to these companies. “Private contractors are going to make billions, legitimate billions off this” he told ABC News.

Legal and Practical Issues

ICE is required to detain most undocumented immigrants it arrests. With limited government run facilities ICE relies on private contractors. Even in states that ban private prisons federal detention needs trump state laws so private facilities will continue to be used.

Criticism of Private Prisons

Human Rights

Critics say the private prison model puts profit over human rights. Eunice Cho, an attorney with the ACLU’s National Prison Project, said 90% of new detention beds under Trump’s first term went to private companies. “The true cost will be borne by people locked up in dangerous, deadly and inhumane detention centers” she said.

Reform

Democratic lawmakers including Sen. Elizabeth Warren are calling on the Department of Homeland Security to get rid of private detention centers. In a letter to DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas Warren and others asked for community based alternatives to detention and humane immigration policies.

A Lucrative but Controversial Road Ahead

While private prison companies are getting ready for a windfall, the moral and social cost of mass deportations is still up for debate. Immigrant rights advocates warn of harm to detained individuals and their families while private prison supporters say the industry provides the resources at a lower cost.

What’s Ahead?

As the Trump administration gets underway the private prison industry is poised to play a bigger role in immigration enforcement. With billions of dollars on the line the next few years will be a battle over the balance between economic interests, human rights and immigration policy.

President-Elect Trump’s plan to deport millions of undocumented immigrants is one of the most massive and divisive initiatives in modern U.S. history. While his plan will appeal to a big chunk of his base it raises serious practical, economic and humanitarian concerns. The potential for legal challenges, public backlash and unintended consequences will test the institutions of the country and the nation’s commitment to human rights, justice and equality. The next few years will decide if these policies will redefine the country and at what cost.

Trump’s deportation plan is not a policy, it’s a recipe for chaos, cruelty and authoritarianism. By looking at the historical context and consequences we can see the dangers of repeating these mistakes. Now more than ever we must reject policies that dehumanize and divide and reaffirm our commitment to justice, dignity and humanity for all.

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Will Trump Deport Green Card Holders?

The question of whether Donald Trump would deport green card holders was a big fear and topic of speculation during his presidency. Green card holders (also known as lawful permanent residents or LPRs) have generally stable immigration status.

But their status is not immune to legal challenges or policy changes. In this post I’ll break down whether green card holders were deported under Trump, the legal framework for green card holder removals, the policies that caused fear and what green card holders can do to protect their status.

Green Card Holder Status and Deportation Risks

A green card allows foreign nationals to live and work in the U.S. indefinitely. But permanent resident status is not U.S. citizenship and comes with limitations.

Legal Basis for Deporting Green Card Holders

Under U.S. immigration law, green card holders can be deported if they violate certain provisions of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA). Some of the common reasons for deportation are:

Criminal Convictions

  • Green card holders can be deported for:
  • Crimes involving moral turpitude (CIMT) such as theft, fraud or assault.
  • Aggravated felonies including certain drug offenses, violent crimes or firearms violations.
  • Convictions must generally occur after the person gets their green card but certain pre-green card convictions can also trigger removal.

Fraud or Misrepresentation

  • If a green card was obtained through fraud (e.g. sham marriage) or by omitting material facts the individual is subject to removal.

Abandonment of Residency

  • Spending extended time outside the U.S. without maintaining ties (e.g. filing taxes, having a U.S. home) can be considered abandonment of permanent residency.

National Security Threats

  • Involvement in terrorism, espionage or any activity threatening U.S. national security makes a green card holder deportable.

Other Immigration Violations

  • Helping someone enter the U.S. illegally or failing to notify USCIS of a change of address can lead to deportation.
trump, president, british flag

President Donald Trump Administration Policies and Green Card Holders

The Trump administration’s policies were all about enforcement, including measures by customs enforcement, and that created a lot of fear among green card holders. Federal agencies were directed to implement aggressive actions against immigrants, increasing anxiety among green card holders.

The Department of Homeland Security played a significant role in these enforcement strategies, further contributing to the uncertainty. Local law enforcement agencies were also involved, leading to concerns about community trust and cooperation. While green card holders were not a specific target group, several policies created uncertainty and anxiety.

1. Broader Federal Immigration Enforcement Priorities

Early in Trump’s presidency an executive order eliminated the Obama era prioritization guidelines making almost any non-citizen with a criminal record a target for deportation.

Impact on Green Card Holders:

  • Even those with minor or old convictions faced more scrutiny.
  • Some LPRs with DUI convictions or minor theft charges were placed in removal proceedings.

2. More Fraud Investigations

USCIS increased scrutiny of green card and naturalization applications for fraud. This included reopening past cases to investigate potential misrepresentations.

Impact on Green Card Holders:

  • Green card holders who got their status through questionable means (e.g. suspected sham marriages) faced deportation.

3. “Public Charge” Rule

The Trump administration wanted to deny green cards to immigrants who would become public charges. Although this rule applied to new applicants only, it created anxiety among LPRs already on government benefits.

Impact on Green Card Holders:

  • Some feared accessing benefits like Medicaid or food stamps would retroactively put their status at risk, although that was not legally true.

4. Travel Restrictions and Entry Issues

Trump’s travel bans including restrictions on several Muslim majority countries created uncertainty and anxiety for green card holders traveling abroad.

Impact on Green Card Holders:

  • Some LPRs faced secondary inspections upon reentry and had to prove they had not abandoned their residency.

5. More Vetting and Removal for Criminal Offenses

ICE and USCIS coordinated more, and LPRs with past convictions were identified faster.

Impact on Green Card Holders:

  • Those with outstanding criminal matters or old records were more likely to be deported.

Trump’s Immigration Plan

Former President Donald Trump’s immigration plan aimed to overhaul the U.S. immigration system comprehensively. One of the most controversial aspects was the proposal to deport up to 20 million undocumented immigrants, including those with temporary legal status. This ambitious plan also sought to change the way immigration courts operate, intending to speed up the deportation process significantly.

In terms of border security, the plan included constructing a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border and deploying additional federal law enforcement officers. These measures were designed to increase border security and curb illegal immigration. Additionally, the plan proposed overhauling the asylum system to make it more difficult for asylum seekers to enter the U.S., reflecting a broader strategy to limit both illegal and legal immigration.

The plan also aimed to reduce the number of refugees allowed into the country and implement a merit-based system for selecting immigrants. This shift would prioritize immigrants based on skills and qualifications rather than family connections or humanitarian needs.

Immigration Courts and Litigation

The Trump administration’s immigration plan heavily relied on immigration courts to process deportation cases. However, the immigration court system was already overwhelmed, with a backlog of over 1 million cases. The plan to deport up to 20 million undocumented immigrants would have exacerbated this backlog, leading to lengthy delays and significant due process concerns.

Immigration advocates and attorneys prepared to litigate against the administration’s plan, arguing that it violated federal law and the Constitution. They worked tirelessly to provide legal representation to undocumented immigrants facing deportation, which is crucial for ensuring due process and protecting the rights of these individuals. The legal battles highlighted the tension between the administration’s aggressive deportation efforts and the fundamental rights guaranteed by the U.S. legal system.

Congressional Action and Response

Congress played a critical role in responding to the Trump administration’s immigration plan. Democrats in Congress were likely to oppose the plan, citing concerns about its constitutionality and the harm it would cause to immigrant communities. They argued that the plan’s aggressive deportation efforts and restrictive policies were not only inhumane but also legally questionable.

To counter the administration’s actions, Congress could take several steps. Limiting funding for the administration’s deportation efforts was one approach. Additionally, exercising oversight authority to investigate the administration’s actions and ensure compliance with federal law was another critical measure. Introducing legislation to protect the rights of undocumented immigrants and provide a pathway to citizenship was also on the agenda. These steps were essential to safeguarding the rights and well-being of undocumented immigrants in the face of aggressive federal immigration enforcement.

State and Local Protections

States and localities played a crucial role in protecting the rights of undocumented immigrants. Many cities and states had already implemented sanctuary policies, which limited cooperation with federal immigration authorities and provided protections for undocumented immigrants. These policies were designed to create safe environments where undocumented immigrants could live and work without fear of sudden deportation.

In addition to sanctuary policies, states and localities could take steps to provide legal representation to undocumented immigrants facing deportation. Offering other forms of support and resources, such as access to healthcare and education, was also vital. These local protections were essential in mitigating the impact of federal immigration enforcement and ensuring that undocumented immigrants had access to the resources and support they needed.

Border Security and Immigration Enforcement

The Trump administration’s immigration plan included several provisions related to border security and immigration enforcement. These measures aimed to increase the number of federal law enforcement officers deployed to the border and implement new technologies, such as drones and sensors, to monitor the border. Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border was a central component of this strategy.

However, these provisions faced widespread criticism for being ineffective and wasteful. Immigration advocates argued that the administration’s focus on border security and enforcement was misguided. They contended that addressing the root causes of immigration, such as poverty and violence in Central America, would be more effective. Instead of punitive measures, the administration should focus on implementing humane and effective immigration policies that prioritize the safety and dignity of all individuals, regardless of their immigration status.

The Reality: Did Trump Deport Green Card Holders?

While there was a lot of fear among green card holders of mass deportations, the reality was more complex. Deportations of LPRs during the Trump administration were mostly of individuals with clear legal grounds for removal, such as criminal convictions or fraud.

Examples of Targeted Cases

1. Green Card Holders with Criminal Convictions: LPRs with aggravated felony or multiple minor convictions were prioritized for removal.

2. Fraudulent Green Card Applications: Some LPRs who got their status through sham marriages or fake documents had their cases reopened and were deported.

3. Abandonment of Residency: Green card holders who spent years outside the U.S. without clear ties were flagged for abandonment and lost their status.

legal, right, justice

Protections for Green Card Holders Against Deportation

Despite the increased enforcement, green card holders have several legal protections against removal:

Due Process Rights

  • Deportation proceedings must follow the rules, including a hearing before an immigration judge.
  • Green card holders can appeal unfavorable decisions, often times delaying or preventing removal.

Government’s Burden of Proof

  • USCIS or ICE must show that the green card holder has violated immigration laws or committed a deportable offense.

Legal Defenses in Deportation Proceedings

  • LPRs can defend against removal by showing rehabilitation, family hardship or eligibility for relief such as cancellation of removal.

What Green Card Holders Can Do to Protect Their Immigration Status

If you’re a green card holder worried about deportation, take proactive steps to protect your status and your peace of mind:

1. Don’t Commit Crimes

  • Even minor offenses can have big immigration consequences.
  • If detained, consult with a criminal attorney and an immigration attorney.

2. Keep Strong Ties to the U.S.

  • File U.S. taxes every year and have a permanent U.S. address.
  • Avoid long trips abroad and get a reentry permit if you must travel for an extended period.

3. Be Honest in Immigration Processes

  • Always tell the truth in immigration applications and interviews.
  • If you think there’s an issue with your original application, seek legal advice to fix it.

4. Stay Informed

  • Keep up with immigration policies and how they affect you.
  • Contact an immigration attorney for updates and advice.

5. Become a U.S. Citizen

  • Naturalization is the best way to be removed-proof, as U.S. citizens cannot be deported.

What to Do If You’re in Danger?

If you think you may be in danger as a green card holder, do the following:

See an Immigration Attorney

  • A qualified attorney can review your case and develop a defense.

Gather Evidence of Your Residency

  • Collect documents that show your strong ties to the U.S., such as tax returns, employment records and family relationships.

Fix Any Past Legal Issues

  • Take care of outstanding warrants or criminal cases with legal help.

Green Card Holder Deportations – The Risks and Reality

While the Trump administration under former President Donald Trump caused green card holders to be anxious, the reality was that removals of LPRs were limited to those who violated immigration laws. President Donald Trump’s policies led to increased scrutiny and enforcement, showing that green card holders need to be vigilant and compliant.

President Trump’s administration emphasized enforcement, which created a climate of fear among immigrants. The potential for a second Trump administration raises concerns about even stricter immigration policies and enforcement measures.

If you’re a green card holder, know your rights and responsibilities. Don’t commit crimes, keep strong ties to the U.S. and consult with an immigration attorney. If you want to be extra safe, become a U.S. citizen.
Stay informed. Consult. Protect.

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Trump Trump Taps Hardliners Homan and Miller for Immigration Posts

Homan and Miller’s Background and Views

President-elect Donald Trump has announced two new appointments to his team, both hardline immigration advocates, as part of the latest immigration news.

Both Homan and Miller played significant roles in the first Trump administration, known for its controversial immigration policies. Tom Homan, former acting ICE director, will be “border czar” and Stephen Miller, a key policy guy from Trump’s first term, will be Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy.

Both are tough on immigration and will get to work on immigration right away.

Immigration Appointments and Titles

Tom Homan as “Border Czar”

Trump posted on Truth Social: “Homan is highly skilled at policing and controlling our Borders.” As border czar, Homan will work closely with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to oversee deportation efforts.

As border czar Homan will oversee deportation efforts to get illegals back to their home countries. This position doesn’t require Senate confirmation so Homan can start right away, focusing on implementing the administration’s immigration policy.

Stephen Miller as Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy

Stephen Miller, a long time Trump advisor and hardline immigration guy, has been selected for this policy position. During the Trump administration, Miller was the architect of the family separation policy and had a significant impact on immigration enforcement.

Vice President-elect JD Vance tweeted: “Another great pick by Trump.” Miller’s position doesn’t require Senate approval so he can start right away.

Other Appointments

Trump has also appointed:

  • Elise Stefanik as U.N. Ambassador: Republican Congresswoman Elise Stefanik will be the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations pending Senate confirmation. Stefanik is a strong Israel supporter and international issues hawk. She said she’s honored and committed to advancing Trump’s policies.
  • Lee Zeldin as EPA head: Former congressman Lee Zeldin will head the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). He’ll focus on a pro-America environmental policy. Like Stefanik, his position requires Senate approval.

These appointments show Trump is going to surround himself with loyalists and people who have supported him on his issues.

Immigration Crackdown and Policy Goals

Trump’s Campaign Promise: A “Migrant Invasion” Solution

Throughout the campaign, President-elect Donald Trump made strong anti-immigration promises, emphasizing an ‘immigration crackdown’ and calling it an “invasion” at the southern border. In a recent rally he said he’ll “kick them out of the country” and address the migrant threat to American safety and jobs.

Trump has promised the largest deportation effort in U.S. history, called “Operation Aurora” which will be a serious mass deportation effort of illegals.

Rhetoric and Reality: Research and Data on Immigration

Trump’s rhetoric on immigration links it to crime and economic issues, but immigration data tells a different story. Estimates on how many undocumented immigrants reside in the U.S. vary, but they play a significant role in the economy and labor market.

Research shows immigrants, including illegals, contribute to the economy and have lower crime rates than native born citizens. Crime has gone down under the Biden administration so Trump’s narrative that immigration is a public safety threat is false.

But Trump’s immigration message still resonates with his base especially on crime and American values.

Rhetoric and Reality: Research and Data on Immigration

Trump’s rhetoric on immigration links it to crime and economic issues, but immigration data tells a different story. Estimates on how many undocumented immigrants reside in the U.S. vary, but they play a significant role in the economy and labor market.

Research shows immigrants, including illegals, contribute to the economy and have lower crime rates than native born citizens. Crime has gone down under the Biden administration so Trump’s narrative that immigration is a public safety threat is false.

But Trump’s immigration message still resonates with his base especially on crime and American values.

Homan and Miller’s Background and Views

Tom Homan’s Record

As former acting director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), Homan was responsible for a 40% increase in immigration arrests in 2017. At the National Conservatism Conference in Washington D.C. Homan said he would lead “the biggest deportation operation this country’s ever seen” if Trump was re-elected. He said the military would not be used in immigration enforcement but he was confident ICE could do mass deportations “in a humane way.”

Homan’s Job and Responsibilities as Border Czar

Trump announced Homan on his social media platform Truth Social where he praised Homan’s experience in immigration control and border security credentials. As border czar Homan will be responsible for:

  • Southern and Northern Border Security: Border control along the U.S.-Mexico and U.S.-Canada borders.
  • Maritime and Aviation Security: Security along coastal and air routes.
  • Deportation Operations: Deporting illegals, a key part of Trump’s policy.

This position does not require Senate approval so Homan can start immediately after the inauguration.

Homan’s Immigration Enforcement Experience

Homan started as a Border Patrol agent in 1984 and rose through the ranks in immigration enforcement. He was acting director of ICE under Trump’s first administration from 2017-2018 where he was known for being tough and oversaw a 40% increase in immigration arrests.

  • Key Policies: Under his leadership ICE prioritized deporting those without status not just those with criminal records and did immigration arrests in courthouses.
  • Zero-Tolerance Policy: Homan also implemented the administration’s zero tolerance policy which led to separating families at the U.S.-Mexico border.

After leaving ICE Homan continued to advocate for tough immigration policies, wrote a book Defend the Border and Save Lives and founded Border 911 Foundation Inc. which opposes what he calls a “border invasion.”

Trump’s Immigration Plan: Homan’s Approach

A Targeted Approach to Deportations

In recent interviews, Homan has laid out his deportation policy and priorities. He said enforcement would focus first on those who pose a threat to public safety and national security.

Homan told the public mass roundups are not the goal but “no one’s off the table” if they’re here illegally.

Key points:

  • Public Safety Threats: Deporting undocumented immigrants with criminal records or deemed security risks.
  • No Military Assistance: Homan said ICE will not use the military for deportation operations. “ICE will do it themselves.”

In a recent Fox News interview Homan said, “The men and women of ICE do this daily. They’re good at it. This will be a targeted operation done in a humane way.”

Myths About Mass Deportations

In a pre-election interview on “60 Minutes” Homan said mass neighborhood raids and large detention camps are deportation myths. He said a targeted approach will focus on public safety threats. When asked if immigrant families together can be deported without separation Homan said, “Families can be deported together” implying a process that will minimize family disruption while enforcing immigration laws.

Homan’s Experience and Reality

Gil Kerlikowske, former head of U.S. Customs and Border Protection under Obama, said Homan has decades of experience and knows the deportation challenges and logistical challenges of mass deportation operations. Homan will carry out Trump’s immigration policies but he knows the limits and complexity of it.

Homan’s challenges:

  • Detention Capacity: ICE has 41,500 detention beds at any given time so there’s a limit to how many can be detained at once.
  • International Cooperation: Deportations require countries to take back their nationals. For example countries like Venezuela who don’t have diplomatic relations with the U.S. may not take back their citizens.

Homan’s Idea: A Unified Government Response

Homan has said the role of “border czar” should coordinate an “all-government” approach to immigration strategy. He believes border control and enforcement requires multiple agencies and a comprehensive policy.

After leaving ICE Homan was initially asked to come back in 2019 as a “border czar” but he declined due to the structure of the role. Now with a clear mandate he can implement Trump’s immigration plan more effectively.

Homan and Trump’s Immigration Plan

With Homan as border czar, Trump’s administration is serious about its immigration enforcement strategy. Homan’s approach is about targeted deportation operations focused on the national security threats and risks but he hasn’t ruled out broader immigration enforcement.

As he takes office, Homan’s leadership will mean a tougher U.S. immigration policy. This will come with its own logistical challenges, financial requirements, and diplomatic hurdles, but that’s what Trump campaigned on – to secure the border and increase deportations.

Homan’s years of experience and practical knowledge of immigration enforcement will be crucial in implementing Trump’s plan as the administration tries to create an all-encompassing immigration strategy that prioritizes enforcement and reality.

A Look Back: Homan’s Impact on Immigration Under Trump’s First Term

Under the Trump presidency, Homan’s ICE removed the limits set by Obama’s administration which focused on deporting immigrants with criminal records. Homan expanded enforcement so anyone without legal status now is vulnerable to detention and removal.

Key policy changes under Homan:

  • Increased Deportation Arrests: Homan oversaw a big increase in arrests and deportations. He emphasized strict immigration enforcement.
  • Courthouse Arrests: Homan allowed ICE officers to arrest in courthouses. A controversial practice that generated a lot of public debate.
  • Detaining Pregnant Women: The agency also started detaining pregnant women pending immigration decisions. Something they previously discouraged.

Stephen Miller’s Influence

Miller has been a vocal immigration restrictionist, citing the impact of undocumented immigration on American jobs and public safety. At a recent Trump rally Miller spoke to supporters about the impact of immigration on American lives, blaming it for job losses and crime. He’s promised to continue to shape strict immigration policies under Chief of Staff Susie Wiles.

Top of the Trump Team

Miller was a senior advisor and speechwriter in Trump’s first term and was involved in the creation of several of Trump’s most unpopular immigration policies including the Muslim travel ban and family separation at the U.S.-Mexico border. His appointment means those policies will be resumed and maybe even increased.

Vice President-elect JD Vance tweeted: “Another great one”

Miller in Trump’s Second-Term Immigration Plan

Miller will be involved in Trump’s second-term immigration plan for mass deportations of undocumented immigrants. Throughout the 2024 campaign Miller was at many rallies speaking to crowds and pushing for “America First” policies.

He’s an immigration restrictionist and has supported increased immigration enforcement including detaining undocumented immigrants in holding centers while they await deportation.

History of Hate Speech

Miller has been accused of using extreme language. At a Trump campaign rally at Madison Square Garden he said “America is for Americans and Americans only” and “We will restore America to the true Americans”. His comments have been criticized for being divisive and nationalist.

Ideas and Proposals

Over the years there have been multiple reports of Miller’s extreme suggestions to manage immigration:

  • Drone Attacks on Migrants: Miller was alleged to have suggested using drones to target migrants. He denies it.
  • Deploy Troops to the Border: Miller was reported to have suggested sending 250,000 troops to the southern border to stop undocumented crossings.
  • Parade al-Baghdadi’s Head: After ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s death former Defense Secretary Mark Esper alleged Miller proposed beheading al-Baghdadi, dipping the head in pig’s blood and parading it around as a deterrent to terrorists. Miller denied it and called Esper a “moron”.

These ideas whether true or not have made Miller a controversial figure in U.S. policy.

Racism and Restrictions

In 2019 emails surfaced where Miller was pushing white nationalist views to right-wing journalists. This prompted civil rights organizations and over 50 Democratic lawmakers to call for his resignation. They said his “deep seated racism” made him unfit for public office. Miller has denied these allegations.

Civil Rights Groups

Several civil rights groups wrote an open letter: “Stephen Miller has fanned bigotry, hate and division with his extreme rhetoric and policies throughout his career”. They told president Trump to fire Miller from the government.

Post-Administration: America First Legal Foundation

After Trump’s first term Miller founded America First Legal Foundation which he described as a conservative alternative to the ACLU. The group has filed over 100 lawsuits against the Democratic administration, against companies like Disney and Nike for being “woke”.

Project 2025 and Future Plans

Miller’s foundation is also involved in Project 2025 a 900 page policy document created by the Heritage Foundation and other conservative groups. Project 2025 is a comprehensive conservative agenda for a second Trump term including dismantling federal agencies, eliminating certain civil rights and reducing LGBTQ+ and reproductive rights.

Miller and Civil Rights: Addressing “Anti-White Racism”

According to Axios Miller has proposed a plan to the federal government change how civil rights laws are applied, focusing on “anti-white racism” not discrimination against minority groups.

If Trump gets back to the White House Miller and his team will shift the federal government’s stance on civil rights issues to counter alleged bias against white Americans.

January 6 Investigation

In 2022 Miller testified before the January 6 committee. He defended Trump’s language at the rally before the insurrection saying Trump’s use of the word “we” was a rhetorical device not an instruction to storm the Capitol.

Summary of Miller’s Influence and Role

Stephen Miller being appointed as Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy means Trump will continue to focus on hardline immigration and social issues. Miller is known for his extreme views and polarizing rhetoric and is one of the most influential voices in the administration on immigration and nationalist issues.

With Miller at the helm Trump’s policy team will focus on immigration enforcement, mass deportations and restrictive policies on immigration and civil rights. This means the administration is committed to the conservative “America First” agenda which has civil rights groups and immigrant communities worried about the social and humanitarian implications.

Going forward Trump’s administration with Miller on the team will have a very tight and restrictive immigration policy with a focus on reducing both legal and undocumented immigration.

Immigration Policy and Humanitarian Concerns

Immigration concerns have led experts to say that the increased rhetoric on immigration will make the situation at the U.S.-Mexico border worse.

The International Organization for Migration has labeled the U.S.-Mexico border as one of the deadliest migrant routes with hundreds of migrant deaths.

Many fear Trump’s mass deportations and hardline approach will worsen the humanitarian crisis.

Growing Humanitarian Crisis

As new Trump administration cracks down on immigration, humanitarian organizations warn that the immigration crisis, along with stricter policies and aggressive deportation tactics, will make the situation for migrants even more dire.

Advocates say increased deportation operations will put migrants at greater risk and abuse of power.

Trump’s Immigration Plan

Trump’s early appointments show he will prioritize loyalty and ahardline immigration strategy. By choosing Homan and Miller he is saying he will have a strict immigration policy.

With “Operation Aurora” and deportation crackdown talk Trump is saying he will act fast and big on immigration.

But his policies and rhetoric has human rights groups and immigration advocates worried about the impact on migrant communities and the U.S.-Mexico border.

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Trump’s Promise of the Biggest Deportation Operation in U.S. History and What It Means for Immigrants and America
Trump Immigration News

Now that the 2024 presidential election is over the biggest question being asked is what will the second Trump administration do on immigration?

Former president Donald Trump made immigration the centerpiece of his campaign and promised the “biggest deportation operation in American history” if re-elected. His proposals go way beyond what he did in his first term and will impact millions of immigrants and change the way America approaches immigration enforcement, border protection, security and family reunification.

Trump’s immigration platform goes beyond undocumented immigrants. His policies will change the very fabric of U.S. immigration, legal pathways, citizenship and protections for asylum seekers.

“Liberation Day” and New Immigration Enforcement

Some of Trump supporters have characterized November 5, 2024 as “Liberation Day” — the day when Trump won the election and put him on the path to free America from “foreign occupation” by gangs and drug cartels.

Trump has pledged to move significant federal law enforcement resources to immigration enforcement, especially against gang and cartel activity. Federal law enforcement officers will play a crucial role in executing large-scale immigration enforcement operations and arresting undocumented individuals as part of this initiative.

Get Ready for a Big Change in U.S. Immigration Policy

As the new administration begins, Trump’s plan is clear: border walls, mass deportations and less humanitarian protection. Employers, immigration advocates and migrants should stay informed and consider getting ahead of the changes.

In this article we will look at Trump’s immigration policies, the social and economic consequences and the bigger picture for immigrant communities and the country.

American People Want Aggressive Immigration Enforcement

Before we get into the policies of the second Trump administration, we need to first look at what the voters said on November 5, 2024.

Recent polling shows Americans are more in favor of stricter immigration policies, in line with former President Donald Trump’s position. According to the AP VoteCast survey, more Americans now favor deporting undocumented immigrants rather than a pathway to legal status. This shift underscores the public’s support for stricter immigration law and highlights the legal implications of such policies.

AP VoteCast Results

  • Deportation: 4 in 10 voters think undocumented immigrants should be sent back to their country of origin, up from 3 in 10 in 2020.
  • Less Support for Legal Status Pathways: While most voters still support legal status for undocumented immigrants, that number has dropped since the last election cycle in 2020. This means the electorate is more hardline on immigration.

Trump’s Immigration Message and Its Impact

  • Border Crossings and Crime: Trump has made the surge in illegal crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border a national security threat, linking it to crime. He has focused on immigration in swing states, framing it as a national security issue.
  • Falsehoods: Trump has falsely and controversially accused Haitian immigrants in Ohio of doing strange things, including eating pets. While these claims are not true, they may have played well with voters in battleground states far from the border like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Strong Support Among Trump Voters

  • Deportation in Key States: In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, 8 in 10 Trump voters favor deportation over a pathway to legal status. This is high in these states so Trump’s immigration message is resonating.

This shows Trump’s tough stance on immigration is working more than ever with more voters in favor of more.

But we’ll see if Americans will continue to support this when they watch on the news every night: families being torn apart, parents being arrested and imprisoned and children crying.

Mass Deportation and Arrests

Trump’s Immigration Plan

Trump’s immigration plan goes beyond deportation and enforcement, he wants to overhaul the entire U.S. immigration system. Here are the main parts of his plan:

Mass Deportations on a Massive Scale

Number: Trump wants to deport up to 20 million people, including undocumented immigrants and those with temporary legal status. This is more than any previous deportation effort and includes people who have lived in the U.S. for years. The immigration courts are already overwhelmed, and such a large-scale deportation plan would exacerbate the backlog in asylum system, necessitating a significant expansion of resources to handle the influx of new cases.

Trump’s Vision for Mass Deportations

  • Broader Reach: Trump has promised the “biggest deportation program in U.S. history,” targeting undocumented immigrants, especially those accused of violent crimes. During the campaign he pointed to examples of undocumented immigrants to make his point, but some were debunked.
  • Targeted Areas: Trump has named specific places like Springfield, Ohio and Aurora, Colorado as the first areas to focus on, saying he would take away temporary legal status from certain immigrant groups in those areas. His team has also mentioned deporting individuals with extremist ties, like “pro-Hamas radicals” from college campuses.
  • Advisors: Trump’s campaign press secretary said his plan is total, he will use every federal and state resource to do mass deportations.

How Mass Deportations Would Be Enforced

1. Military and Law Enforcement: President Donald Trump officials say he would use a wide range of resources to enforce deportations of unauthorized immigrants, including the U.S. military, National Guard and local law enforcement. This could mean extensive cooperation with state and local police to find and detain undocumented immigrants.

2. Executive Authority: Trump could use emergency powers and executive actions to speed up deportations and bypass some protections for undocumented immigrants. Legal scholars say he could use obscure wartime provisions that were used for mass detentions in the past, like during World War II for Japanese, German and Italian nationals.

3. More Contracts with Private Companies: The deportation process would likely involve private contractors for detention facilities, transportation and deportation flights. Private companies already manage many parts of immigration detention and this could increase if deportation efforts grow.

4. Historical Comparison: Trump’s plan is modeled after Eisenhower’s “Operation Wetback” in the 1950s where the U.S. forcibly deported people of Mexican descent, including U.S. citizens. But Trump’s is bigger and broader, targeting long-time residents and new arrivals.

5. More ICE: The new administration will remove the limits on Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) put in place by the Biden administration so ICE will be more active against undocumented people in the U.S.

6. Alien Enemies Act: new Trump administration will use the Alien Enemies Act to target violent gangs like Venezuela’s Tren de Aragua and cartel members with a focus on reducing organized crime in immigrant communities.

Logistical and Legal Hurdles

Experts say deporting 20 million people in 4 years is impossible without significant resources, an expanded law enforcement workforce and a lot of money: Mass deportations at this scale means massive arrests, detentions and immigration hearings. Each stage requires due process which means legal representation, appeal rights and judicial review. To achieve this scale would mean bypassing or stretching legal protections — which would be challenged in court.

Extraordinary Economic Hurdles

Cost of Mass Deportations

  • Cost Estimates: According to estimates by Vice President-elect J.D. Vance and the American Immigration Council, deporting 1 million people a year would cost $88 billion a year. Deporting the entire 11 million undocumented population would take 10 years and cost nearly $1 trillion.
  • Detention Capacity: ICE currently has capacity for 41,500 people a day, it peaked at 55,000 during Trump’s first term. To support the scale Trump envisions, detention facilities would need a 24 fold increase in capacity which is logistically and financially impossible.
  • Private Contractor Opportunities: Trump’s plan will create opportunities for private contractors in detention, transportation and security as private companies will be able to expand their role in detention facility management, flight operations for deportations and other services.

Court Challenges

  • Immigration advocates and civil rights groups will sue against mass deportation policies citing constitutional protections and due process rights. But Trump’s influence on the judiciary during his first term, including hundreds of conservative judges, may make it harder to do so. Legal advocacy groups like the ACLU are preparing to sue against mass deportations to defend constitutional rights like due process and protection against unreasonable search and seizure

Community/State Resistance

  • Some states and local governments will resist federal efforts, especially those with pro-immigrant policies. Local governments and advocacy organizations are preparing to counter deportations by offering legal resources and challenging enforcement in court. Local governments and immigrant communities are organizing resources to provide legal aid, rapid response networks and to educate immigrants about their rights.

Militarized Immigration Enforcement and National Guard

Trump’s immigration enforcement plan includes a big increase in immigration enforcement with military and local police.

  • Deploying Military and Law Enforcement: Trump’s plan includes using National Guard troops to assist in immigration enforcement, raids and detaining undocumented individuals with local law enforcement. Trump’s advisor Stephen Miller has talked about creating a new deportation force with military personnel and federal agents in states with cooperative officials.
  • Sweeps and Raids: The plan would involve big raids in immigrant communities and workplaces, increasing the risk of wrongful arrests, racial profiling and rights violations.

Response:

  • Limit Local Involvement: Many states and cities with pro-immigrant policies are preparing to opt out of mass deportations. They are passing laws and policies to prevent local law enforcement from being used in federal immigration enforcement.
  • Documentation and Accountability: Legal organizations are organizing to document and challenge militarized enforcement abuses and ensure transparency and accountability.

Dismantling Humanitarian Protections: Ending Asylum and TPS

Trump’s immigration plan includes ending asylum protections and revoking humanitarian protections for people from conflict zones.

Reviving Title 42, Asylum Restrictions & TPS

  • Title 42: Trump will revive Title 42, a public health policy implemented during COVID-19 that allowed for rapid removal of migrants. He will likely use it to block asylum claims broadly.
  • Remain in Mexico Policy: Trump will bring back the policy forcing asylum seekers to wait in Mexico while their cases are processed. Critics say this policy puts vulnerable people in harm’s way and limits access to legal assistance.
  • Ending Asylum: Trump’s administration will end asylum for those seeking protection at the border. Asylum is a fundamental right under U.S. and international law for people fleeing persecution. Trump’s restrictions would severely limit asylum claims at U.S. borders, forcing migrants to stay in dangerous conditions in their home countries.
  • TPS Protections: Temporary Protected Status (TPS), which allows people from countries in crisis to live in the U.S., would also be curtailed under Trump’s plan. Revoking TPS would affect hundreds of thousands of people who have lived in the U.S. for years, uprooting their lives and possibly forcing them to return to dangerous conditions.

Humanitarian Parole

  • CBP One App: The Biden administration’s use of the CBP One app for hundreds of thousands of migrants could be severely limited or ended.
  • Targeted Programs: Programs for 30,000 migrants per month from countries like Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela would be eliminated as Trump tightens border security.

Response:

  • Court Intervention: Legal organizations are preparing to defend asylum and TPS.
  • Legislative Advocacy: Immigration advocates are working with pro-immigrant lawmakers to protect TPS and asylum programs and the human rights of removing these protections.

Family Rights: Birthright Citizenship and Public Education

The administration is also planning to take away certain rights from immigrant families, including birthright citizenship and public education for undocumented children.

  • Birthright Citizenship: Trump wants to repeal birthright citizenship for children born in the U.S. to undocumented parents, challenging a long-standing interpretation of the 14th Amendment. If implemented, this policy would strip millions of U.S.-born children of their citizenship and create a generation without legal status.
  • Public Education: Trump’s advisors have suggested revisiting the Plyler v. Doe decision which guarantees public education for all children. Cutting off education would force families to leave the country or not enroll their children in school, causing long-term harm to children’s education and social development.

Response:

  • Constitutional Defense: Legal advocates will challenge attempts to restrict birthright citizenship which has constitutional roots and historical precedent.
  • State Protections: States can pass laws affirming education for all children and set up systems to keep schools open and safe for undocumented

Ideological Screening of Immigrants

  • Screening Criteria: Trump will screen out individuals whose views he deems anti-American. This will target groups he has labeled as “communists, Marxists and socialists.”
  • Student Visas: Trump will revoke student visas for individuals involved in pro-Palestinian or anti-Israel protests. Such criteria raises freedom of expression and the chilling effect on international students.

Public Charge Rule

  • Welfare Restrictions: Trump will re-impose a stricter public charge rule which will limit green cards for immigrants who are likely to use public assistance. This rule was designed to ensure self-sufficiency and will make it harder for low-income immigrants to get permanent residency.

Travel Bans

  • Targeted Travel Bans: Trump will bring back travel bans from countries he considers security threats. These bans will likely target countries with history of political instability or terrorism and restrict travel from those regions to the U.S.

Mexican Goods Tariffs

  • Tariff Threat: Trump will impose 25% tariff on all Mexican imports if Mexico doesn’t take more action to stop the flow of drugs and migrants into the U.S.
  • Pressure: The goal is to get Mexico to increase border enforcement by using economic leverage to get cooperation on migration and crime.

Border Wall

  • Wall Expansion: Trump will restart the U.S.-Mexico border wall which saw over 450 miles built during his first term.
  • More Security: Trump will “fix our borders” and stop unauthorized entry, he says border security is key to American safety.

While Trump’s plans have practical and legal obstacles, his influence on the judiciary and potential congressional support will make it more doable this time around. But implementing such a massive program will require navigating logistical challenges, getting funding and overcoming legal hurdles.

Congressional Role in Challenging Immigration Policies

Congress will have a big role in responding to Trump’s immigration plans. Lawmakers can limit funding, exercise oversight and shape legislation.

  • Funding Control: Congress can restrict funding for immigration enforcement and detention facilities which will limit the scale of Trump’s deportation efforts. By blocking additional funding for ICE and CBP, Congress can limit the capacity for mass deportations and detention camp expansions.
  • Oversight and Accountability: Congress can exercise oversight by holding hearings, issuing subpoenas and holding federal agencies accountable for civil rights. Pro-immigrant lawmakers are working to hold agencies accountable for any abuse.
  • Alternative Legislation: Pro-immigrant lawmakers are pushing for legislation that provides clear immigration pathways, protects families and humane border management.

Defending American Values: Changing the Narrative

A big part of resisting Trump’s immigration agenda is to change the national conversation around immigration.

  • Public Education and Awareness: Advocates are educating the public about the contributions of immigrants and the harm of extreme enforcement. By sharing stories of immigrant families and American values, advocates hope to counter xenophobic narratives.
  • Polling and Research: Studies show most Americans support balanced immigration policies with a path to citizenship and humane treatment of immigrants. Advocates are using this data to drive public campaigns and legislative agendas.

Response:

  • Community Engagement: Advocacy groups are mobilizing local communities to support inclusive immigration reforms and counteract fear-based narratives.
  • Advocating for Humane Policies: By pushing for fair and humane immigration policies, advocates will shape future immigration reforms and protect all residents.

Biden Administration Preparing for Border Surge Before Trump Takes Office

With Donald Trump’s election, the Biden administration is preparing for a border surge at the southern border as immigrants try to get in before Trump’s policies kick in.

  • Last-Minute Entries: With Trump’s tougher border policies coming, some experts say there could be a wave of migrants trying to get into the U.S. before he takes office. This “last-chance” influx will put more pressure on already overwhelmed border resources.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has started developing contingency plans, expecting some migrants to try to get into the U.S. before the inauguration, fearing Trump’s policies.

DHS Meets to Discuss Border Readiness

  • Planning Session: DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas met with CBP and ICE officials to discuss preparing for a migrant surge. Topics included ICE bed space, managing asylum claims and processing times for those not eligible for asylum.
  • Capacity Issues: Can DHS process a surge of migrants fast enough to avoid releasing into the U.S. due to capacity?

Migrant Messaging Causes Border Closure Fears

  • WhatsApp Activity: Since Trump’s election, immigrants and smugglers have been messaging on WhatsApp saying “now is the time to come to the U.S.” These messages are common on migrant routes and reflect fear that Trump will close the border as soon as he’s in office.
  • Misinformation Spreading: Messages on WhatsApp are spreading false information, some saying the cutoff is January 10 instead of January 20, Trump’s inauguration date.

CBP’s Message to Migrants: “Don’t Believe Smugglers”

  • Don’t Enter Illegally: A CBP spokesperson told migrants to use safe and legal entry methods and not to believe smugglers. CBP said U.S. immigration laws are still in effect and migrants should use legal channels.

Smugglers Take Advantage of Trump’s Return to Push Migrants to Cross Fast

  • Shelters in Mexico on High Alert: Shelters along the U.S.-Mexico border are preparing for a surge of migrants seeking temporary housing before trying to get into the U.S.
  • Shelter Operators Worried: In Tijuana, Gustavo Banda, who runs the Templo Embajadores de Jesus shelter housing around 1,400 migrants, said smugglers, or “coyotes,” will pressure migrants to try to get in before Trump takes office. Despite the uncertainty, Banda is trying to keep migrants calm and remind them no policies have changed yet.
  • Nogales Shelter Ready: Francisco Loureiro, who runs a shelter in Nogales, has seen increased anxiety among migrants, many of whom use CBP’s ONE app for asylum appointments. He’s recently prepared his facility for an influx.

Migration Caravan in Mexico Heads to Northern Border

  • From Chiapas: A caravan has recently left Chiapas, near the Guatemala border, and is moving north. Caravans are common but the timing has raised concerns that more migrants will head to northern border areas like Nogales before Trump’s policies kick in.

Economic and Logistical Costs of Mass Deportations

Carrying out Trump’s deportation plan would require massive resources. The Supreme Court has previously ruled on issues related to citizenship rights and equal access to education, which could play a significant role in the legal challenges against such mass deportation policies when the Trump administration regains office.

Let’s get into it:

Financial

  • Cost: According to the American Immigration Council, deporting one million people a year would cost around $1 trillion over a decade. That’s for increased staffing, detention facility expansion and transportation.
  • Economic Impact: Deporting millions could shrink U.S. GDP by 4.2% to 6.8% over a decade as undocumented workers fill essential jobs in industries like agriculture, construction and caregiving.

Workforce

  • Industries at Risk: Agriculture, hospitality and healthcare rely heavily on undocumented workers. Sudden deportations would lead to severe labor shortages, increased costs and delays in goods and services.
  • Inflation: Removing millions from the workforce would drive up inflation as the economy adjusts to decreased productivity and rising labor costs in those industries.

Tax Revenue Loss

  • Contribution: In 2022, undocumented immigrants paid around $100 billion in federal, state and local taxes. Their removal would reduce tax revenue and strain government resources, impacting public services like schools and infrastructure.

Social and Family Impact: Lives Upended and Communities Rocked

Trump’s deportation plan would devastate families, especially mixed-status households. Here’s what it would look like:

Family Separations

  • Citizen Children: 4.4 million U.S. born children have at least one undocumented parent. Mass deportations would put these children at risk of being separated from their parents and facing emotional and economic hardship.
  • Community Trauma: Deportations on this scale would disrupt entire communities. As seen in Tennessee, raids leave children without caregivers, cause spikes in school absenteeism and require emergency support from local organizations.

Chilling Effect on Immigrant Families

  • Access to Public Services: Many undocumented individuals will avoid hospitals, schools and public services due to fear of deportation. During Trump’s first term, immigrant families limited their outings and public activities to reduce their chances of running into immigration enforcement.
  • Health and Safety Risks: Avoiding healthcare services would put entire communities at risk, especially those where undocumented workers hold frontline jobs in essential industries like healthcare, sanitation and food service.

The Political Landscape and Anti-Immigrant Sentiment

Public support for stricter immigration enforcement has increased and recent polls show a majority of Americans support deporting millions of undocumented individuals. Trump has exploited this sentiment, framing immigration as a threat to American identity, economic stability and national security. His language has gotten more extreme:

  • Xenophobic Language: Trump regularly describes immigrants in a negative light, saying they “poison the blood” of the nation and “destroy the fabric of our country”. This kind of language not only creates fear but dehumanizes immigrants and shapes public opinion.
  • Misinformation: Trump has spread lies that undocumented immigrants contribute to crime and other social ills. Studies show that immigrants, including undocumented ones, are less likely to commit crimes than U.S. born citizens.

Contingency Planning: What Advocates and Communities Are Doing

Ahead of potential policy changes, immigrant rights organizations are mobilizing and preparing legal responses:

Emergency Toolkits and Rapid Response

  • Resource Distribution: Advocacy groups are creating toolkits for communities to respond to workplace raids and ICE operations, so affected families can know their rights and get legal help.
  • Community Networks: Local organizations are preparing to provide support through networks of volunteers, legal experts and community leaders who can offer rapid assistance.

Legal Challenges and Advocacy

  • ACLU and Other Legal Organizations: Groups like the ACLU will challenge Trump’s policies in court, especially around issues of constitutionality like birthright citizenship and ideological screenings.
  • Public Awareness Campaigns: Immigrant rights groups are educating the public on the facts of Trump’s proposals, to debunk myths and highlight immigrants’ economic and social contributions.

Life Under Threat: A Look Back at the 2018 Tennessee Raid

As a snapshot of what an aggressive enforcement strategy might look like, let’s remember what happened in 2018.

In 2018, almost 100 workers were arrested in a massive immigration raid at a meatpacking plant in Tennessee, including Nayeli, a mother and long-time plant employee. The raid, with helicopters and federal agents, left a community in shock. Children came home to find their parents missing and hundreds of students were absent from school the next day. For many families the fear and trauma still lingers.

Nayeli, one of those arrested and released, still fears these big raids will come back. She now organizes for immigrant rights in her community and advocates for protections and policies that recognize immigrants’ contributions. Her story shows the human impact of immigration raids and what many fear could happen on a much bigger scale.

What to Expect from the Second Trump Administration on Employment-Based Immigration?

With Trump back in the White House, big changes are coming to U.S. immigration policies, especially for employment-based immigration. From stricter visa requirements to program terminations, Trump’s second term will increase scrutiny and add new restrictions. Employers and visa holders should prepare now by understanding what’s coming and taking proactive steps to minimize risk.

Key Takeaways: Get Ready for Immigration Changes

  • Act Fast: Employers and visa holders should speed up application processes and file now under current rules.
  • Expect Delays and More Scrutiny: Higher RFE rates and delays in visa approvals are likely under a new, tougher regime.

H-1B Visa Holders and H-4 Spouse Work Authorization

More Scrutiny and Requirements

  • H-1B Petition Scrutiny: Expect more scrutiny of H-1B petitions, especially around job requirements, which could lead to more RFEs and denials.
  • Specialty Occupations and Documentation: Petitioners may need to provide more detailed evidence of the field of study and skills required for the H-1B position, especially for positions with third-party worksites. This could include contracts and Statements of Work (SOW) for the entire employment term.
  • Salary Increases: Employers may need to raise H-1B salaries, as previous attempts have included pushing for higher salary caps.

H-4 EAD (H-4 Spouse Work Authorization)

  • H-4 EAD Rescission: The Trump administration previously tried to end the H-4 EAD program and could do so again. If rescinded, H-4 spouses would lose work authorization.
  • Impact of “Bundled Processing”: Currently, H-1B, H-4 and H-4 EAD applications can be filed together for faster processing. This practice may end, causing delays in work authorization renewals and employment gaps for H-4 spouses.
  • EAD Auto-Extensions: Automatic work authorization extensions during renewal processing may be limited, adding complexity and risk for H-4 workers waiting for EAD renewals.

Visa Interview Waiver (Dropbox) and Processing Delays

Trump’s administration may eliminate the visa interview waiver (or “dropbox”) for visa renewals which would mean:

  • Longer Processing Times: Eliminating the dropbox would mean more in-person interviews, slowing down the process and creating backlogs.
  • Third-Country Nationals: The Department of State may limit visa interview availability at third-country U.S. consulates, extending wait times for renewals and initial visa applications.

L-1 Visa Holders and More Restrictions for Specialized Workers

L-1 Intra-Company Transfers

  • Higher Denial Rates for L-1B: L-1B (specialized knowledge workers) will likely face more scrutiny, requiring detailed explanations of job duties and specialized skills.
  • L-2 Spouse Work Authorization: The automatic work authorization rule for L-2 spouses could be eliminated, meaning they would need to apply separately and potentially face employment gaps.

Visa Interview Waivers and Renewal Delays

  • Remove Dropbox Eligibility: Like H-1B visa holders, L-1 visa applicants may lose the ability to file dropbox renewals, which would mean longer wait times and less predictable processing.

F-1 Students and OPT/CPT Changes

Trump’s administration may re-impose strict work authorization rules for F-1 students:

Curriculum Practical Training (CPT) and Day-1 CPT

  • Greater Scrutiny: F-1 students will face more scrutiny, especially those who use “Day-1” CPT. Documentation and compliance will be key as USCIS may require more evidence of eligibility.

STEM OPT Program

  • STEM OPT Elimination: Although STEM OPT survived previous challenges, Trump could still try to rescind it. New restrictions on third-party work placements or the extension period could also be added.

Unlawful Presence Rule

  • Immediate Unlawful Presence for Status Violations: A previous rule attempted to make F-1 students unlawfully present immediately upon status violation. Although blocked by the courts, it could be re-introduced.

Green Card Applicants: Processing and Visa Availability

Employment-Based Visas

  • Caps on Immigrant Visas: Trump has proposed limiting immigrant visas, including employment-based visas, for countries with high backlogs like India and China. This would require Congressional approval but is possible with a Republican-majority Congress.

PERM Labor Certification Delays

  • Longer Processing Times for Labor Certifications: Underfunding for Department of Labor (DOL) resources could mean even longer processing times for prevailing wage determinations and PERM certifications, potentially months of delays for green card applications.

Public Charge Criteria and EAD/AP Validity Terms

  • New Public Charge Rules: Trump may tighten public charge rules making it harder to prove financial independence.
  • Shorter Validity for Work and Travel Permits: Currently, Employment Authorization Documents (EAD) and Advance Parole (AP) permits can be valid for up to 5 years; the administration may shorten the validity to 1 or 2 years, adding more renewals for applicants.

Lawful Permanent Residents (LPRs) and Naturalization Challenges

More Vetting for Naturalization

  • Tougher Civics Test: Trump’s previous administration tried to make the civics test harder for naturalization. This could come back, making the process more difficult for those seeking U.S. citizenship.

Procedural Challenges for Green Card Holders

  • More Documentation for Sponsorship: Family members of green card holders or U.S. citizens may need more documentation, especially if public charge rules expand.

Temporary Protected Status (TPS) and Visitor Visa Applicants

Limiting TPS Eligibility

  • Fewer TPS Countries and Duration: Trump may try to restrict the TPS program by reducing the number of eligible countries or time frame, affecting those relying on TPS for work and residency authorization.

Longer Visa Wait Times and Entry Restrictions

  • Longer Wait for Visitor Visas: If the visa interview waiver program is reduced or eliminated, expect longer wait times for B-1/B-2 visitor visas, especially for countries flagged for high risk.

What to Do: Minimize Your Exposure

Take proactive steps now to mitigate some of the risks:

  • File Now: Employers should file H-1B and L-1 petitions as soon as possible to avoid future restrictions. Consider bundling H-4 EAD applications with H-1B or H-4 petitions for concurrent processing.
  • Use Premium Processing: For faster response times, use or upgrade to premium processing when available.
  • Get Visa Stamps and Renewals: Get visa stamps now to avoid future processing delays.
  • H-4 EAD Alternatives: With H-4 EAD at risk, look for other work authorization options.
  • Be Prepared for More Documentation: F-1 students on CPT and OPT, especially those on Day-1 CPT, should comply with all regulations and keep detailed records.

Trump’s immigration agenda will have a big impact on immigrant families, communities and long-standing constitutional protections. A coordinated response from advocates, local governments and pro-immigrant lawmakers will be key to protecting immigrants across the country.

In the next few months, advocates, legal experts and community organizations will continue to push back against Trump’s plans by focusing on legal challenges, public education, legislative advocacy and local protections. This coordinated approach will uphold the core American values of justice, fairness and human rights so that immigration policies reflect the country’s commitment to a fair and kind system for all. File now and be prepared. Stay informed. Stay compliant. Stay safe.

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